Sha Tin · 2024-12-22 · 05:50
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-22 was Class 4 over 1200m. SUPER LEGENDS, ridden by J McDonald and trained by C S Shum, won by 3/4, with CITY THUNDER second and GROOVY FEELING third. The 2.7 favourite CITY THUNDER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER LEGENDS B2/TT 1.09.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 5 | 5.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | CITY THUNDER TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 2.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | GROOVY FEELING TT1 B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 3 | 93.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | FORTUNE WHISKEY XB-/B/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 12 | 24.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | SPIRIT OF PEACE A Pouchin · J Size | A Pouchin | J Size | 9 | 8.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | ISLAND BUDDY B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | PATCH OF STARS B1/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 8 | 7.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | LUCKY IMPACT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 33.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR B M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 69.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | EXCEED THE WISH H1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 70.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | HAYDAY H-/XB- M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 8.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | SPICY SPANGLE TT P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 2 | 9.8 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | SOMETHING JONAH B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 13 | 67.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | PERPETUAL POWER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 158.0 | 8-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER LEGENDS | 21.0% | 4.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | CITY THUNDER | 15.3% | 6.54 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 13.5% | 7.43 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | HAYDAY | 10.6% | 9.42 | 11 |
| 5 | 13 | SPICY SPANGLE | 8.9% | 11.25 | 12 |
| 6 | 7 | PATCH OF STARS | 6.5% | 15.46 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | LUCKY IMPACT | 4.3% | 23.34 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | ISLAND BUDDY | 4.1% | 24.26 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | SOMETHING JONAH | 3.3% | 30.06 | 13 |
| 10 | 8 | PERPETUAL POWER | 3.2% | 31.44 | 14 |
| 11 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR | 2.8% | 35.83 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 2.7% | 37.20 | 4 |
| 13 | 6 | GROOVY FEELING | 2.4% | 41.57 | 3 |
| 14 | 5 | EXCEED THE WISH | 1.5% | 67.54 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 54
PLACE
1 17.5
2 14
6 214.5
QUINELLA
1,2 80
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 31.5
1,6 749.5
2,6 439
FORECAST
1,2 211
TIERCE
1,2,6 11,938
TRIO
1,2,6 2,337
FIRST 4
1,2,6,14 9,278
QUARTET
1,2,6,14 155,475
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
1/1 412
1/2 46