Sha Tin · 2025-06-14 · 12:45
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-14 was Class 3 over 1200m. MOJAVE DESERT, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by M Newnham, won by 1, with GUMMY GUMMY second and PACKING BOLE third. The 3.1 favourite MR ENERGIA finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MOJAVE DESERT B/XB 1.08.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 2 | 8.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | GUMMY GUMMY B L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 3 | 12.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | PACKING BOLE CP/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 8.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | MR ENERGIA B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 8 | 3.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM P2 H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 12 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL H/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 6 | 108.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | RISING FORCE K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 3.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | EASON V2/TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 10 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | MASK RIDER B/TT P N Wong · W Y So | P N Wong | W Y So | 4 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 61.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 16.0 | 19 |
| 12 | 6 | VICTORY MOMENTS B/SR/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 11 | 101.0 | 34 |
| — | 0 | SOLID SHALAA E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | RISING FORCE | 28.5% | 3.51 | 7 |
| 2 | 11 | MR ENERGIA | 15.0% | 6.67 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | LUCKY PLANET | 14.0% | 7.12 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | GUMMY GUMMY | 8.6% | 11.68 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | EASON | 6.2% | 16.20 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | PACKING BOLE | 6.0% | 16.75 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 5.7% | 17.50 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | MOJAVE DESERT | 5.3% | 18.79 | 1 |
| 9 | 4 | MASK RIDER | 5.2% | 19.13 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL | 2.3% | 42.81 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 1.8% | 54.80 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 1.4% | 74.02 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 82
PLACE
1 30.5
2 26
10 22.5
QUINELLA
1,10 446
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 114.5
1,10 119
2,10 91.5
FORECAST
10,1 789
TIERCE
10,1,2 5,387
TRIO
1,2,10 797
FIRST 4
1,2,10,11 490
QUARTET
10,1,2,11 14,480
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
8/1 120.5
8/10 465