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Sha Tin · 2025-06-14 · 16:31

Race 2

Class 5 1600m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly H-/B/TT 1.35.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 15.0 1/2
2 1 BEAUTIFUL WIN Led early CP/TT J Orman · W Y So 4 3.9 1/2
3 5 APOLAR FIGHTER Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · D Eustace 3 20.0 1-1/2
4 11 GOLD TACK Closed strongly CP A Hamelin · D J Hall 5 8.0 1-1/2
5 4 CELTIC TIMES V/TT K C Leung · K L Man 8 15.0 2
6 7 FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · C Fownes 13 12.0 2-1/4
7 9 PERFECT PEACH Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C W Chang 7 11.0 2-3/4
8 8 SUPREME WINNER Closed strongly CP A Atzeni · C H Yip 2 11.0 2-3/4
9 13 WINNING SEVEN B/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte 12 46.0 2-3/4
10 6 SMASHING EXPRESS H Bentley · J Size 11 13.0 3-1/4
11 3 VIVA CHALEUR H/PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng 10 14.0 4
12 12 JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP V M F Poon · P F Yiu 6 7.0 4-1/4
13 2 SMILING COLLECTOR CP/XB H Bowman · K H Ting 9 14.0 5
14 14 YOO YOO KNIGHT CP/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 14 52.0 8

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-14 was Class 5 over 1600m. SMART BEAUTY, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with BEAUTIFUL WIN second and APOLAR FIGHTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite BEAUTIFUL WIN finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SMART BEAUTY—2. BEAUTIFUL WIN+0.5L3. APOLAR FIGHTER+1.5L4. GOLD TACK+1.5L5. CELTIC TIMES+2L6. FAMILY FORTUNE+2.25L7. PERFECT PEACH+2.75L8. SUPREME WINNER+2.75L9. WINNING SEVEN+2.75L10. SMASHING EXPRESS+3.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick GOLD TACK (15.8%) finished 4th — the winner SMART BEAUTY was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 GOLD TACK 15.8% 6.34 4
2 1 BEAUTIFUL WIN 10.3% 9.69 2
3 9 PERFECT PEACH 10.2% 9.84 7
4 5 APOLAR FIGHTER 8.9% 11.24 3
5 8 SUPREME WINNER 7.6% 13.11 8
6 6 SMASHING EXPRESS 7.2% 13.87 10
7 3 VIVA CHALEUR 6.9% 14.46 11
8 7 FAMILY FORTUNE 6.3% 15.90 6
9 12 JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP 6.1% 16.33 12
10 14 YOO YOO KNIGHT 5.9% 16.99 14
11 10 SMART BEAUTY 4.9% 20.39 1
12 2 SMILING COLLECTOR 4.6% 21.66 13
13 13 WINNING SEVEN 3.4% 29.59 9
14 4 CELTIC TIMES 1.9% 53.15 5
GOLD TACKBEAUTIFUL WINPERFECT PEACHAPOLAR FIGHTERSUPREME WINNERSMASHING EXPRESSVIVA CHALEURFAMILY FORTUNEJOYFUL FRIENDSHIPYOO YOO KNIGHTSMART BEAUTY — wonSMILING COLLECTORWINNING SEVENCELTIC TIMES

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 155

PLACE

1 15

5 53.5

10 49.5

QUINELLA

1,10 241.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 161

1,10 91

5,10 464

FORECAST

10,1 899

TIERCE

10,1,5 13,612

TRIO

1,5,10 2,161

FIRST 4

1,5,10,11 3,036

QUARTET

10,1,5,11 83,167

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

2/1 22

2/10 402