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Sha Tin · 2025-06-14 · 08:35

Race 2

Class 5 1600m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-14 was Class 5 over 1600m. SMART BEAUTY, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with BEAUTIFUL WIN second and APOLAR FIGHTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite BEAUTIFUL WIN finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.35.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly H-/B/TT 1.35.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 15.0 1/2
2 1 BEAUTIFUL WIN Led early CP/TT J Orman · W Y So 4 3.9 1/2
3 5 APOLAR FIGHTER Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · D Eustace 3 20.0 1-1/2
4 11 GOLD TACK Closed strongly CP A Hamelin · D J Hall 5 8.0 1-1/2
5 4 CELTIC TIMES V/TT K C Leung · K L Man 8 15.0 2
6 7 FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · C Fownes 13 12.0 2-1/4
7 9 PERFECT PEACH Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C W Chang 7 11.0 2-3/4
8 8 SUPREME WINNER Closed strongly CP A Atzeni · C H Yip 2 11.0 2-3/4
9 13 WINNING SEVEN B/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte 12 46.0 2-3/4
10 6 SMASHING EXPRESS H Bentley · J Size 11 13.0 3-1/4
11 3 VIVA CHALEUR H/PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng 10 14.0 4
12 12 JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP V M F Poon · P F Yiu 6 7.0 4-1/4
13 2 SMILING COLLECTOR CP/XB H Bowman · K H Ting 9 14.0 5
14 14 YOO YOO KNIGHT CP/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 14 52.0 8

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SMART BEAUTY2. BEAUTIFUL WIN+0.5L3. APOLAR FIGHTER+1.5L4. GOLD TACK+1.5L5. CELTIC TIMES+2L6. FAMILY FORTUNE+2.25L7. PERFECT PEACH+2.75L8. SUPREME WINNER+2.75L9. WINNING SEVEN+2.75L10. SMASHING EXPRESS+3.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick GOLD TACK (15.8%) finished 4th — the winner SMART BEAUTY was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 GOLD TACK 15.8% 6.34 4
2 1 BEAUTIFUL WIN 10.3% 9.69 2
3 9 PERFECT PEACH 10.2% 9.84 7
4 5 APOLAR FIGHTER 8.9% 11.24 3
5 8 SUPREME WINNER 7.6% 13.11 8
6 6 SMASHING EXPRESS 7.2% 13.87 10
7 3 VIVA CHALEUR 6.9% 14.46 11
8 7 FAMILY FORTUNE 6.3% 15.90 6
9 12 JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP 6.1% 16.33 12
10 14 YOO YOO KNIGHT 5.9% 16.99 14
11 10 SMART BEAUTY 4.9% 20.39 1
12 2 SMILING COLLECTOR 4.6% 21.66 13
13 13 WINNING SEVEN 3.4% 29.59 9
14 4 CELTIC TIMES 1.9% 53.15 5
GOLD TACKBEAUTIFUL WINPERFECT PEACHAPOLAR FIGHTERSUPREME WINNERSMASHING EXPRESSVIVA CHALEURFAMILY FORTUNEJOYFUL FRIENDSHIPYOO YOO KNIGHTSMART BEAUTY — wonSMILING COLLECTORWINNING SEVENCELTIC TIMES

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 155

PLACE

1 15

5 53.5

10 49.5

QUINELLA

1,10 241.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 161

1,10 91

5,10 464

FORECAST

10,1 899

TIERCE

10,1,5 13,612

TRIO

1,5,10 2,161

FIRST 4

1,5,10,11 3,036

QUARTET

10,1,5,11 83,167

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

2/1 22

2/10 402