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Sha Tin · 2025-06-14 · 09:35

Race 4

Class 4 1200m 12 runners

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-14 was Class 4 over 1200m. HINOKAMI KAGURA, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W Y So, won by 1-3/4, with YEE CHEONG RAIDER second and FASHION LEGEND third. The 4.4 favourite ROBOT KNIGHT finished 12th.

Result

Official · 1.08.82
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 HINOKAMI KAGURA BO 1.08.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W Y So 2 8.0 1-3/4
2 10 YEE CHEONG RAIDER B/TT A Atzeni · J Richards 10 77.0 1-3/4
3 5 FASHION LEGEND TT2 L Ferraris · D Eustace 8 7.6 2-1/2
4 1 FUN N FUN TOGETHER B Z Purton · F C Lor 5 5.3 2-1/2
5 7 MEEPMEEP E/PC/TT A Badel · J Size 12 6.5 2-3/4
6 11 PATCH OF WATCH B/TT P N Wong · K L Man 7 7.9 3-1/4
7 3 SIGHT HAPPY CP B Avdulla · D A Hayes 11 15.0 4-3/4
8 6 MAGNIAC TT C L Chau · T P Yung 6 9.8 8
9 4 SERGEANT PEPPER J Orman · Y S Tsui 4 61.0 8-3/4
10 9 EURO ROCKS B-/PC1/TT M L Yeung · C H Yip 9 29.0 10-1/4
11 2 HONG KONG HALL V1 M F Poon · D J Hall 1 29.0 15-1/4
12 8 ROBOT KNIGHT B/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng 3 4.4 23

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HINOKAMI KAGURA2. YEE CHEONG RAIDER+1.75L3. FASHION LEGEND+2.5L4. FUN N FUN TOGETHER+2.5L5. MEEPMEEP+2.75L6. PATCH OF WATCH+3.25L7. SIGHT HAPPY+4.75L8. MAGNIAC+8L9. SERGEANT PEPPER+8.75L10. EURO ROCKS+10.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PATCH OF WATCH (19.7%) finished 6th — the winner HINOKAMI KAGURA was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 PATCH OF WATCH 19.7% 5.07 6
2 8 ROBOT KNIGHT 17.9% 5.57 12
3 12 HINOKAMI KAGURA 16.8% 5.94 1
4 1 FUN N FUN TOGETHER 11.0% 9.10 4
5 6 MAGNIAC 10.0% 9.96 8
6 7 MEEPMEEP 7.1% 14.07 5
7 3 SIGHT HAPPY 4.4% 22.56 7
8 5 FASHION LEGEND 4.2% 23.63 3
9 10 YEE CHEONG RAIDER 2.5% 39.37 2
10 2 HONG KONG HALL 2.1% 47.05 11
11 9 EURO ROCKS 2.1% 48.16 10
12 4 SERGEANT PEPPER 2.0% 50.90 9
PATCH OF WATCHROBOT KNIGHTHINOKAMI KAGURA — wonFUN N FUN TOGETHERMAGNIACMEEPMEEPSIGHT HAPPYFASHION LEGENDYEE CHEONG RAIDERHONG KONG HALLEURO ROCKSSERGEANT PEPPER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 80.5

PLACE

5 30

10 157.5

12 21.5

QUINELLA

10,12 2,383

QUINELLA PLACE

5,10 752.5

5,12 111

10,12 624.5

FORECAST

12,10 4,675

TIERCE

12,10,5 34,215

TRIO

5,10,12 6,933

FIRST 4

1,5,10,12 9,019

QUARTET

12,10,5,1 235,444

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

4/10 1,206.5

4/12 630.5