Sha Tin · 2025-06-14 · 13:20
Race 11
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-14 was Class 3 over 1400m. PATCH OF STARS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/2, with VICTORY SKY second and MASTER OF ALL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PATCH OF STARS Closed strongly TT 1.21.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 4 | 1.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | VICTORY SKY Closed strongly CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 13 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | MASTER OF ALL Led early B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 1 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | ENDEARED Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | BEAUTY GLORY CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | YOUNG ACHIEVER Closed strongly SR/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 8 | 76.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SEA CHARIOT TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 2 | 72.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE Closed strongly XB-/CP L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 11 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SILVERY BREEZE B2/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 9 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | SUPREME MASTERMIND Closed strongly XB1/TT1 B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 12 | 28.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | MEGA FORCE P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 6 | 95.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | FIVEFORTWO XB1 B Thompson · K W Lui | B Thompson | K W Lui | 3 | 147.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | FORTUNE SUPERNOVA H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 5 | 39.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PATCH OF STARS | 48.8% | 2.05 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | VICTORY SKY | 11.8% | 8.51 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | YOUNG ACHIEVER | 7.0% | 14.35 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | BEAUTY GLORY | 6.0% | 16.71 | 5 |
| 5 | 13 | MASTER OF ALL | 5.5% | 18.32 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | SILVERY BREEZE | 5.1% | 19.63 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 3.7% | 26.90 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | ENDEARED | 3.7% | 27.33 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPREME MASTERMIND | 2.2% | 45.51 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | FORTUNE SUPERNOVA | 2.1% | 47.80 | 13 |
| 11 | 12 | MEGA FORCE | 1.6% | 61.24 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | FIVEFORTWO | 1.5% | 64.85 | 12 |
| 13 | 8 | SEA CHARIOT | 1.1% | 88.83 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 16
PLACE
5 11.5
6 25
13 27
QUINELLA
5,6 91.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 38.5
5,13 35.5
6,13 132.5
FORECAST
5,6 134
TIERCE
5,6,13 760
TRIO
5,6,13 273
FIRST 4
4,5,6,13 791
QUARTET
5,6,13,4 7,051
All pools (4 more)
10TH DOUBLE
10/5 228
10/6 166
2ND TREBLE
8/10/5 1,573
8/10/6 861
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,10/5,6,13 19,620
SIX UP
8,12/1,8/1,3/7,8/1,10/5,6 18,971
12/1/3/8/10/5 449,723
4 [A S Cruz] —
2 [A Atzeni] —