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Sha Tin · 2025-06-14 · 21:18

Race 11

Class 3 1400m Course C+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.44
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 PATCH OF STARS Closed strongly TT 1.21.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man 4 1.6 1-1/2
2 6 VICTORY SKY Closed strongly CP K C Leung · P F Yiu 13 11.0 1-1/2
3 13 MASTER OF ALL Led early B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 1 10.0 2-1/2
4 4 ENDEARED Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · J Size 7 20.0 4
5 11 BEAUTY GLORY CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 10.0 5-1/4
6 1 YOUNG ACHIEVER Closed strongly SR/TT H Bowman · J Richards 8 76.0 5-3/4
7 8 SEA CHARIOT TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 2 72.0 6
8 3 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE Closed strongly XB-/CP L Hewitson · M Newnham 11 14.0 6-1/4
9 2 SILVERY BREEZE B2/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 9 10.0 6-1/2
10 9 SUPREME MASTERMIND Closed strongly XB1/TT1 B Avdulla · D A Hayes 12 28.0 8-1/2
11 12 MEGA FORCE P N Wong · P C Ng 6 95.0 8-1/2
12 7 FIVEFORTWO XB1 B Thompson · K W Lui 3 147.0 8-3/4
13 10 FORTUNE SUPERNOVA H Bentley · K H Ting 5 39.0 10-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-14 was Class 3 over 1400m. PATCH OF STARS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/2, with VICTORY SKY second and MASTER OF ALL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PATCH OF STARS—2. VICTORY SKY+1.5L3. MASTER OF ALL+2.5L4. ENDEARED+4L5. BEAUTY GLORY+5.25L6. YOUNG ACHIEVER+5.75L7. SEA CHARIOT+6L8. ARMOUR WAR EAGLE+6.25L9. SILVERY BREEZE+6.5L10. SUPREME MASTERMIND+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PATCH OF STARS (48.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 PATCH OF STARS 48.8% 2.05 1
2 6 VICTORY SKY 11.8% 8.51 2
3 1 YOUNG ACHIEVER 7.0% 14.35 6
4 11 BEAUTY GLORY 6.0% 16.71 5
5 13 MASTER OF ALL 5.5% 18.32 3
6 2 SILVERY BREEZE 5.1% 19.63 9
7 3 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE 3.7% 26.90 8
8 4 ENDEARED 3.7% 27.33 4
9 9 SUPREME MASTERMIND 2.2% 45.51 10
10 10 FORTUNE SUPERNOVA 2.1% 47.80 13
11 12 MEGA FORCE 1.6% 61.24 11
12 7 FIVEFORTWO 1.5% 64.85 12
13 8 SEA CHARIOT 1.1% 88.83 7
PATCH OF STARS — wonVICTORY SKYYOUNG ACHIEVERBEAUTY GLORYMASTER OF ALLSILVERY BREEZEARMOUR WAR EAGLEENDEAREDSUPREME MASTERMINDFORTUNE SUPERNOVAMEGA FORCEFIVEFORTWOSEA CHARIOT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 16

PLACE

5 11.5

6 25

13 27

QUINELLA

5,6 91.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 38.5

5,13 35.5

6,13 132.5

FORECAST

5,6 134

TIERCE

5,6,13 760

TRIO

5,6,13 273

FIRST 4

4,5,6,13 791

QUARTET

5,6,13,4 7,051

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

10/5 228

10/6 166

2ND TREBLE

8/10/5 1,573

8/10/6 861

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,10/5,6,13 19,620

SIX UP

8,12/1,8/1,3/7,8/1,10/5,6 18,971

12/1/3/8/10/5 449,723

4 [A S Cruz] —

2 [A Atzeni] —