Sha Tin · 2025-06-14 · 18:01
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TRULY FLUKE Closed strongly XB 1.21.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 13 | 14.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | ROMAN CROWN Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 10 | 17.0 | N |
| 3 | 2 | DEVAS TWELVE Led early TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 16.0 | N |
| 4 | 4 | MIGHTY STEED Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 3 | 4.2 | N |
| 5 | 13 | HE WAS ME B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 1 | 47.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | REZEKI Closed strongly CP-/B1 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 11 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | WINNING DATA B E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 8 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | STAR BROSE Closed strongly TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 9 | 8.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SPECIAL HEDGE Closed strongly V/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 4 | 3.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | GROOVY FEELING Closed strongly TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 2 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | BULL ATTITUDE L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 14 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | SIGHT DREAMER TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 6.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | DREAMING WINNER CP/H/TT C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 7 | 34.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | LEADING ARTICLE CP-/B1/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 6 | 133.0 | 24-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-14 was Class 4 over 1400m. TRULY FLUKE, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by D Eustace, won by N, with ROMAN CROWN second and DEVAS TWELVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite SPECIAL HEDGE finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 17.4% | 5.74 | 9 |
| 2 | 8 | STAR BROSE | 14.7% | 6.79 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | TRULY FLUKE | 9.7% | 10.28 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | MIGHTY STEED | 9.5% | 10.52 | 4 |
| 5 | 14 | SIGHT DREAMER | 8.2% | 12.25 | 12 |
| 6 | 1 | WINNING DATA | 7.5% | 13.32 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | BULL ATTITUDE | 5.8% | 17.27 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | ROMAN CROWN | 5.5% | 18.11 | 2 |
| 9 | 2 | DEVAS TWELVE | 5.0% | 20.02 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | DREAMING WINNER | 4.9% | 20.55 | 13 |
| 11 | 3 | REZEKI | 4.0% | 25.09 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | GROOVY FEELING | 3.8% | 26.47 | 10 |
| 13 | 13 | HE WAS ME | 2.2% | 46.31 | 5 |
| 14 | 7 | LEADING ARTICLE | 1.9% | 54.04 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 145.5
PLACE
2 48
5 46.5
10 56.5
QUINELLA
5,10 1,215
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 271
2,10 490.5
5,10 342.5
FORECAST
5,10 2,724
TIERCE
5,10,2 30,869
TRIO
2,5,10 4,955
FIRST 4
2,4,5,10 6,890
QUARTET
5,10,2,4 262,085
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
4/12/5 6,403
4/12/10 2,650
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,10,12/F 4,722
4TH DOUBLE
12/5 748
12/10 213.5