沙田 · 2025-06-14 · 10:05
第 5場
2025-06-14沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米。由A Atzeni策騎、D Eustace訓練的TRULY FLUKE勝出，贏出N。ROMAN CROWN獲得亞軍；DEVAS TWELVE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門SPECIAL HEDGE跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TRULY FLUKE 後段發力 XB 1.21.56 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 13 | 14.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | ROMAN CROWN 後段發力 B/TT B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 10 | 17.0 | N |
| 3 | 2 | DEVAS TWELVE 早段領放 TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 16.0 | N |
| 4 | 4 | MIGHTY STEED Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 3 | 4.2 | N |
| 5 | 13 | HE WAS ME B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 1 | 47.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | REZEKI 後段發力 CP-/B1 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 11 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | WINNING DATA B E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 8 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | STAR BROSE 後段發力 TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 9 | 8.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SPECIAL HEDGE 後段發力 V/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 4 | 3.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | GROOVY FEELING 後段發力 TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 2 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | BULL ATTITUDE L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 14 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | SIGHT DREAMER TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 6.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | DREAMING WINNER CP/H/TT C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 7 | 34.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | LEADING ARTICLE CP-/B1/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 6 | 133.0 | 24-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 17.4% | 5.74 | 9 |
| 2 | 8 | STAR BROSE | 14.7% | 6.79 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | TRULY FLUKE | 9.7% | 10.28 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | MIGHTY STEED | 9.5% | 10.52 | 4 |
| 5 | 14 | SIGHT DREAMER | 8.2% | 12.25 | 12 |
| 6 | 1 | WINNING DATA | 7.5% | 13.32 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | BULL ATTITUDE | 5.8% | 17.27 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | ROMAN CROWN | 5.5% | 18.11 | 2 |
| 9 | 2 | DEVAS TWELVE | 5.0% | 20.02 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | DREAMING WINNER | 4.9% | 20.55 | 13 |
| 11 | 3 | REZEKI | 4.0% | 25.09 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | GROOVY FEELING | 3.8% | 26.47 | 10 |
| 13 | 13 | HE WAS ME | 2.2% | 46.31 | 5 |
| 14 | 7 | LEADING ARTICLE | 1.9% | 54.04 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 145.5
PLACE
2 48
5 46.5
10 56.5
QUINELLA
5,10 1,215
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 271
2,10 490.5
5,10 342.5
FORECAST
5,10 2,724
TIERCE
5,10,2 30,869
TRIO
2,5,10 4,955
FIRST 4
2,4,5,10 6,890
QUARTET
5,10,2,4 262,085
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
4/12/5 6,403
4/12/10 2,650
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,10,12/F 4,722
4TH DOUBLE
12/5 748
12/10 213.5