沙田 · 2025-06-14 · 09:35
第 4場
2025-06-14沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米。由M Chadwick策騎、W Y So訓練的HINOKAMI KAGURA勝出，贏出1-3/4。YEE CHEONG RAIDER獲得亞軍；FASHION LEGEND獲得季軍。4.4倍大熱門ROBOT KNIGHT跑獲第12名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | HINOKAMI KAGURA BO 1.08.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 8.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER B/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 10 | 77.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | FASHION LEGEND TT2 L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 8 | 7.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | MEEPMEEP E/PC/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 6.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | PATCH OF WATCH B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 7 | 7.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SIGHT HAPPY CP B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 11 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | MAGNIAC TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 9.8 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | SERGEANT PEPPER J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 4 | 61.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | EURO ROCKS B-/PC1/TT M L Yeung · C H Yip | M L Yeung | C H Yip | 9 | 29.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | HONG KONG HALL V1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 29.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | ROBOT KNIGHT B/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 3 | 4.4 | 23 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PATCH OF WATCH | 19.7% | 5.07 | 6 |
| 2 | 8 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 17.9% | 5.57 | 12 |
| 3 | 12 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 16.8% | 5.94 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER | 11.0% | 9.10 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | MAGNIAC | 10.0% | 9.96 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | MEEPMEEP | 7.1% | 14.07 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | SIGHT HAPPY | 4.4% | 22.56 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | FASHION LEGEND | 4.2% | 23.63 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER | 2.5% | 39.37 | 2 |
| 10 | 2 | HONG KONG HALL | 2.1% | 47.05 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | EURO ROCKS | 2.1% | 48.16 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 2.0% | 50.90 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 80.5
PLACE
5 30
10 157.5
12 21.5
QUINELLA
10,12 2,383
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 752.5
5,12 111
10,12 624.5
FORECAST
12,10 4,675
TIERCE
12,10,5 34,215
TRIO
5,10,12 6,933
FIRST 4
1,5,10,12 9,019
QUARTET
12,10,5,1 235,444
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
4/10 1,206.5
4/12 630.5