沙田 · 2025-06-14 · 11:10
第 7場
2025-06-14沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1400米。由C L Chau策騎、K W Lui訓練的HAROLD WIN勝出，贏出1-1/2。WORLD HERO獲得亞軍；STRATHPEFFER獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以3.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HAROLD WIN 一路領先 V/XB 1.21.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 8 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | WORLD HERO 後段發力 B A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 14 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | STRATHPEFFER 後段發力 B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 9.5 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | ENDUED 後段發力 V/TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 12 | 9.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | LUCKY STATEMENT 後段發力 B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 1 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | MEOWTH TT L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 5 | 6.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | STRANGE ALERT 後段發力 A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 2 | 7.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | AEROINVINCIBLE 後段發力 H2/TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 10 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | LAKESHORE HERO B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 6 | 7.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 22.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | METAL KING 後段發力 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 4 | 60.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | NOBLE FANS H- M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 13 | 20.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | CASA RUBICK B/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 3 | 179.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | LITTLE SQUID E-/PC1/TT- Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 9 | 170.0 | 23 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | STRANGE ALERT | 25.9% | 3.86 | 7 |
| 2 | 4 | ENDUED | 10.9% | 9.16 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | HAROLD WIN | 10.8% | 9.23 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | MEOWTH | 8.8% | 11.42 | 6 |
| 5 | 13 | LAKESHORE HERO | 8.6% | 11.59 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 8.0% | 12.42 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | WORLD HERO | 7.5% | 13.42 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | NOBLE FANS | 5.3% | 19.03 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | STRATHPEFFER | 5.0% | 19.81 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | METAL KING | 2.7% | 37.69 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | LUCKY STATEMENT | 2.3% | 42.75 | 5 |
| 12 | 2 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 2.3% | 43.32 | 8 |
| 13 | 14 | LITTLE SQUID | 1.3% | 76.64 | 14 |
| 14 | 7 | CASA RUBICK | 0.6% | 181.44 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 37
PLACE
1 15
8 35
12 27.5
QUINELLA
1,8 195.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 76.5
1,12 70
8,12 133.5
FORECAST
1,8 379
TIERCE
1,8,12 2,210
TRIO
1,8,12 533
FIRST 4
1,4,8,12 1,196
QUARTET
1,8,12,4 19,021
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,12/1,8,12 691,202
6TH DOUBLE
12/1 992.5
12/8 499
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,10/6,8,12/Any Combination 632,776