沙田 · 2025-06-14 · 12:10
第 9場
2025-06-14沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1800米。由E C W Wong策騎、C Fownes訓練的JOY OF SPRING勝出，贏出1-1/4。GENTLEMEN LEGACY獲得亞軍；WINNING WING獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.8倍大熱門LIVEANDLETLIVE跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | JOY OF SPRING 後段發力 TT 1.46.99 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | GENTLEMEN LEGACY 後段發力 TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 6 | 7.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | WINNING WING 後段發力 B1/TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 13 | 7.1 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | STAR MAC 後段發力 B-/CP2/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 2 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | ROCKET SPADE 後段發力 XB/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 57.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | MONEY CATCHER K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 30.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | CHARITY TOGETHER 後段發力 B/TT B Thompson · D Eustace | B Thompson | D Eustace | 10 | 170.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | ARIEL B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 3 | 68.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | LIVEANDLETLIVE 早段領放 TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.8 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | MIGHTY STRENGTH B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 5 | 18.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | PACKING HURRICANE B2/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 7 | 23.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | ENTHRALLED B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 6.4 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 4 | PACKING TURBINE TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 9 | 13.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LIVEANDLETLIVE | 16.7% | 5.98 | 9 |
| 2 | 2 | ENTHRALLED | 15.9% | 6.28 | 12 |
| 3 | 8 | JOY OF SPRING | 12.9% | 7.72 | 1 |
| 4 | 13 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 10.5% | 9.50 | 10 |
| 5 | 5 | WINNING WING | 9.3% | 10.71 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | GENTLEMEN LEGACY | 9.1% | 11.02 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | STAR MAC | 6.1% | 16.37 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | PACKING TURBINE | 4.3% | 23.07 | 13 |
| 9 | 3 | ROCKET SPADE | 4.1% | 24.67 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | MONEY CATCHER | 3.6% | 27.75 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | ARIEL | 3.3% | 30.50 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | PACKING HURRICANE | 3.2% | 31.67 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | CHARITY TOGETHER | 0.9% | 108.44 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 55.5
PLACE
5 22.5
7 24
8 20.5
QUINELLA
7,8 243
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 106.5
5,8 86
7,8 80
FORECAST
8,7 470
TIERCE
8,7,5 3,492
TRIO
5,7,8 689
FIRST 4
5,7,8,9 1,320
QUARTET
8,7,5,9 26,156
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,10/5,7,8 33,939
8TH DOUBLE
3/7 73.5
3/8 361.5