沙田 · 2025-06-14 · 08:35
第 2場
2025-06-14沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1600米。由Y L Chung策騎、A S Cruz訓練的SMART BEAUTY勝出，贏出1/2。BEAUTIFUL WIN獲得亞軍；APOLAR FIGHTER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門BEAUTIFUL WIN跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SMART BEAUTY 後段發力 H-/B/TT 1.35.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTIFUL WIN 早段領放 CP/TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 4 | 3.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | APOLAR FIGHTER 後段發力 B/TT B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 3 | 20.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | GOLD TACK 後段發力 CP A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 5 | 8.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | CELTIC TIMES V/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | FAMILY FORTUNE 後段發力 TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 13 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | PERFECT PEACH 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 7 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPREME WINNER 後段發力 CP A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 2 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | WINNING SEVEN B/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 12 | 46.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | SMASHING EXPRESS H Bentley · J Size | H Bentley | J Size | 11 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | VIVA CHALEUR H/PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 10 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP V M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 7.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | SMILING COLLECTOR CP/XB H Bowman · K H Ting | H Bowman | K H Ting | 9 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 14 | 14 | YOO YOO KNIGHT CP/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 14 | 52.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GOLD TACK | 15.8% | 6.34 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTIFUL WIN | 10.3% | 9.69 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | PERFECT PEACH | 10.2% | 9.84 | 7 |
| 4 | 5 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 8.9% | 11.24 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPREME WINNER | 7.6% | 13.11 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 7.2% | 13.87 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | VIVA CHALEUR | 6.9% | 14.46 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 6.3% | 15.90 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 6.1% | 16.33 | 12 |
| 10 | 14 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 5.9% | 16.99 | 14 |
| 11 | 10 | SMART BEAUTY | 4.9% | 20.39 | 1 |
| 12 | 2 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 4.6% | 21.66 | 13 |
| 13 | 13 | WINNING SEVEN | 3.4% | 29.59 | 9 |
| 14 | 4 | CELTIC TIMES | 1.9% | 53.15 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 155
PLACE
1 15
5 53.5
10 49.5
QUINELLA
1,10 241.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 161
1,10 91
5,10 464
FORECAST
10,1 899
TIERCE
10,1,5 13,612
TRIO
1,5,10 2,161
FIRST 4
1,5,10,11 3,036
QUARTET
10,1,5,11 83,167
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
2/1 22
2/10 402