沙田 · 2025-06-14 · 09:05
第 3場
2025-06-14沙田第3場,Class 4,途程1200米。由E C W Wong策騎、P C Ng訓練的AEROVOLANIC勝出,贏出1/2。TOURBILLON GOLFER獲得亞軍;RAINBOW SEVEN獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門SEA SAPPHIRE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | AEROVOLANIC CP1 1.09.39 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 2 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | TOURBILLON GOLFER TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | RAINBOW SEVEN K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 3 | 3.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | NORTHERN BEACHES CP H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 7 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | SEA SAPPHIRE TT B Thompson · D Eustace | B Thompson | D Eustace | 5 | 3.1 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | KING ALLOY B H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 1 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | AUTUMN VIBES SB/H1/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 8 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | WINNING DIAMOND Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 11 | 8.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | NO OTHER CHOICE H1/TT A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 10 | 105.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | CHAMPION METHOD B P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 9 | 32.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | BULLISH PRIDE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 52.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | FLYING DOUBLE CP-/B1 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 6 | 8.3 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | WINNING DIAMOND | 21.2% | 4.71 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | RAINBOW SEVEN | 20.5% | 4.88 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 14.1% | 7.11 | 5 |
| 4 | 12 | FLYING DOUBLE | 8.2% | 12.17 | 12 |
| 5 | 2 | AUTUMN VIBES | 7.8% | 12.85 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 6.3% | 15.79 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | AEROVOLANIC | 6.1% | 16.32 | 1 |
| 8 | 6 | TOURBILLON GOLFER | 5.8% | 17.17 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | BULLISH PRIDE | 4.0% | 25.14 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | NO OTHER CHOICE | 2.6% | 37.96 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | CHAMPION METHOD | 1.8% | 56.19 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | KING ALLOY | 1.5% | 65.40 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 123.5
PLACE
3 16.5
4 36.5
6 51
QUINELLA
4,6 867.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 90.5
3,6 92.5
4,6 241.5
FORECAST
4,6 1,452
TIERCE
4,6,3 5,271
TRIO
3,4,6 585
FIRST 4
1,3,4,6 2,392
QUARTET
4,6,3,1 64,701
全部彩池(另 2 項)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,10/3,4,6 236,467
2ND DOUBLE
10/4 1,532
10/6 381.5