Sha Tin · 2025-10-01 · 11:45
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-01 was Class 2 over 1400m. HEALTHY HAPPY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by F C Lor, won, with STEPS AHEAD second and HONG LOK GOLF third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite STEPS AHEAD finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HEALTHY HAPPY Closed strongly 1:20.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 6 | 22.0 | — |
| 2 | 5 | STEPS AHEAD Closed strongly Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 4 | 2.8 | N |
| 3 | 1 | HONG LOK GOLF Closed strongly H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 5 | 3.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 9 | 8.7 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | HUGE WAVE Closed strongly A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 7 | 6.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | GUSTOSISIMO Led early Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | MICKLEY Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 10 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | TAJ DRAGON H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 8 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | TOURBILLON PRINCE L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 3 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | WONDER KIT D Probert · K W Lui | D Probert | K W Lui | 1 | 130.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HONG LOK GOLF | 46.0% | 2.17 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | STEPS AHEAD | 17.4% | 5.75 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | MICKLEY | 7.8% | 12.82 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | TAJ DRAGON | 6.0% | 16.61 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | GUSTOSISIMO | 5.8% | 17.15 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | HUGE WAVE | 4.8% | 20.63 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 4.4% | 22.54 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 3.0% | 33.28 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 2.4% | 41.54 | 1 |
| 10 | 7 | WONDER KIT | 2.2% | 44.49 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 221.5
PLACE
1 14.5
3 53
5 12.5
QUINELLA
3,5 297.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 135.5
1,5 26
3,5 107.5
FORECAST
3,5 793
TIERCE
3,5,1 3,457
TRIO
1,3,5 304
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 340
QUARTET
3,5,1,6 13,879
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,6/1,3,5 50,988
7TH DOUBLE
5/3 1,381.5
5/5 35.5