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Sha Tin · 2025-10-01 · 16:43

Race 8

Class 2 1400m Course A+3 10 runners

Result

Official · 1:20.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 HEALTHY HAPPY Closed strongly 1:20.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · F C Lor 6 22.0 —
2 5 STEPS AHEAD Closed strongly Z Purton · K W Lui 4 2.8 N
3 1 HONG LOK GOLF Closed strongly H Bentley · W Y So 5 3.3 3/4
4 6 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly C Y Ho · K L Man 9 8.7 1
5 10 HUGE WAVE Closed strongly A Badel · K H Ting 7 6.9 1-1/4
6 4 GUSTOSISIMO Led early Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 12.0 2
7 8 MICKLEY Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size 10 11.0 2-3/4
8 2 TAJ DRAGON H Bowman · P C Ng 8 24.0 3-1/4
9 9 TOURBILLON PRINCE L Hewitson · C W Chang 3 31.0 4
10 7 WONDER KIT D Probert · K W Lui 1 130.0 8-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-01 was Class 2 over 1400m. HEALTHY HAPPY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by F C Lor, won, with STEPS AHEAD second and HONG LOK GOLF third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite STEPS AHEAD finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HEALTHY HAPPY—2. STEPS AHEAD+0.05L3. HONG LOK GOLF+0.75L4. CHIU CHOW SPIRIT+1L5. HUGE WAVE+1.25L6. GUSTOSISIMO+2L7. MICKLEY+2.75L8. TAJ DRAGON+3.25L9. TOURBILLON PRINCE+4L10. WONDER KIT+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick HONG LOK GOLF (46.0%) finished 3rd — the winner HEALTHY HAPPY was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 HONG LOK GOLF 46.0% 2.17 3
2 5 STEPS AHEAD 17.4% 5.75 2
3 8 MICKLEY 7.8% 12.82 7
4 2 TAJ DRAGON 6.0% 16.61 8
5 4 GUSTOSISIMO 5.8% 17.15 6
6 10 HUGE WAVE 4.8% 20.63 5
7 6 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 4.4% 22.54 4
8 9 TOURBILLON PRINCE 3.0% 33.28 9
9 3 HEALTHY HAPPY 2.4% 41.54 1
10 7 WONDER KIT 2.2% 44.49 10
HONG LOK GOLFSTEPS AHEADMICKLEYTAJ DRAGONGUSTOSISIMOHUGE WAVECHIU CHOW SPIRITTOURBILLON PRINCEHEALTHY HAPPY — wonWONDER KIT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 221.5

PLACE

1 14.5

3 53

5 12.5

QUINELLA

3,5 297.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 135.5

1,5 26

3,5 107.5

FORECAST

3,5 793

TIERCE

3,5,1 3,457

TRIO

1,3,5 304

FIRST 4

1,3,5,6 340

QUARTET

3,5,1,6 13,879

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,5,6/1,3,5 50,988

7TH DOUBLE

5/3 1,381.5

5/5 35.5