Sha Tin · 2025-10-01 · 15:36
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | INVINCIBLE IBIS Closed strongly 1:21.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 14 | 2.8 | — |
| 2 | 8 | STRANGE ALERT Closed strongly A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 10 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 13 | SILVER UP Closed strongly M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 11 | 37.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | RAGING RAPIDS Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 9.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | VICTORY CHAMPION K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 4.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | GALE SAGA A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 9 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 3 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | RAINBOW SEVEN Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | KOLACHI J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 6 | 151.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | JUICY DRAGON M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 5 | 91.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | CHINA WIN L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 13 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | NO OTHER CHOICE D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 4 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | BASIC INSTINCT R Kingscote · Y S Tsui | R Kingscote | Y S Tsui | 12 | 286.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | WIN METHOD Led early H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 2 | 98.0 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-01 was Class 4 over 1400m. INVINCIBLE IBIS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by M Newnham, won, with STRANGE ALERT second and SILVER UP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | INVINCIBLE IBIS | 33.2% | 3.01 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | RAINBOW SEVEN | 11.5% | 8.71 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | VICTORY CHAMPION | 9.8% | 10.17 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | CHINA WIN | 9.6% | 10.41 | 11 |
| 5 | 6 | RAGING RAPIDS | 9.3% | 10.70 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | STRANGE ALERT | 4.9% | 20.58 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE | 4.5% | 22.33 | 7 |
| 8 | 14 | GALE SAGA | 4.3% | 23.20 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | NO OTHER CHOICE | 3.2% | 31.70 | 12 |
| 10 | 13 | SILVER UP | 2.9% | 34.61 | 3 |
| 11 | 11 | WIN METHOD | 1.9% | 53.67 | 14 |
| 12 | 1 | KOLACHI | 1.7% | 57.37 | 9 |
| 13 | 10 | JUICY DRAGON | 1.6% | 60.76 | 10 |
| 14 | 9 | BASIC INSTINCT | 1.6% | 64.30 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 28
PLACE
3 14
8 37
13 79.5
QUINELLA
3,8 183.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 74
3,13 148.5
8,13 516.5
FORECAST
3,8 279
TIERCE
3,8,13 5,636
TRIO
3,8,13 1,596
FIRST 4
3,6,8,13 2,517
QUARTET
3,8,13,6 38,093
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,13/3,8,13 41,718
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 335.5
1/8 402
TRIPLE TRIO
11,14>2,9/1,4,13/3,8,13 1,490,749
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
11,14>2,9/1,4,13/Any Combination 1,223