沙田 · 2025-10-01 · 10:05
第 6場
2025-10-01沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米。由Z Purton策騎、M Newnham訓練的INVINCIBLE IBIS勝出。STRANGE ALERT獲得亞軍；SILVER UP獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | INVINCIBLE IBIS 後段發力 1:21.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 14 | 2.8 | — |
| 2 | 8 | STRANGE ALERT 後段發力 A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 10 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 13 | SILVER UP 後段發力 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 11 | 37.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | RAGING RAPIDS 後段發力 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 9.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | VICTORY CHAMPION K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 4.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | GALE SAGA A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 9 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 3 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | RAINBOW SEVEN 後段發力 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | KOLACHI J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 6 | 151.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | JUICY DRAGON M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 5 | 91.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | CHINA WIN L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 13 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | NO OTHER CHOICE D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 4 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | BASIC INSTINCT R Kingscote · Y S Tsui | R Kingscote | Y S Tsui | 12 | 286.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | WIN METHOD 早段領放 H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 2 | 98.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | INVINCIBLE IBIS | 33.2% | 3.01 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | RAINBOW SEVEN | 11.5% | 8.71 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | VICTORY CHAMPION | 9.8% | 10.17 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | CHINA WIN | 9.6% | 10.41 | 11 |
| 5 | 6 | RAGING RAPIDS | 9.3% | 10.70 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | STRANGE ALERT | 4.9% | 20.58 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE | 4.5% | 22.33 | 7 |
| 8 | 14 | GALE SAGA | 4.3% | 23.20 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | NO OTHER CHOICE | 3.2% | 31.70 | 12 |
| 10 | 13 | SILVER UP | 2.9% | 34.61 | 3 |
| 11 | 11 | WIN METHOD | 1.9% | 53.67 | 14 |
| 12 | 1 | KOLACHI | 1.7% | 57.37 | 9 |
| 13 | 10 | JUICY DRAGON | 1.6% | 60.76 | 10 |
| 14 | 9 | BASIC INSTINCT | 1.6% | 64.30 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 28
PLACE
3 14
8 37
13 79.5
QUINELLA
3,8 183.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 74
3,13 148.5
8,13 516.5
FORECAST
3,8 279
TIERCE
3,8,13 5,636
TRIO
3,8,13 1,596
FIRST 4
3,6,8,13 2,517
QUARTET
3,8,13,6 38,093
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,13/3,8,13 41,718
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 335.5
1/8 402
TRIPLE TRIO
11,14>2,9/1,4,13/3,8,13 1,490,749
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
11,14>2,9/1,4,13/Any Combination 1,223