沙田 · 2025-10-01 · 10:05
第 9場
2025-10-01沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米。由A Atzeni策騎、D J Hall訓練的KEMPES勝出。HAROLD WIN獲得亞軍；NEW FUTURE FOLKS獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門AKASHVANI跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | KEMPES 1:08.77 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 14 | 31.0 | — |
| 2 | 5 | HAROLD WIN C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 2 | 3.6 | NOSE |
| 3 | 2 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 4 | 12.0 | HD |
| 4 | 1 | SIX PACK H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 12 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | AKASHVANI L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 13 | 2.4 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SUGAR SUGAR K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 3 | 51.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | ONE MORE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 7.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | — | 20.0 | — |
| 8 | 6 | HAYDAY E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | — | 50.0 | — |
| 10 | 12 | ONE MAN SHOW K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | LUCKY PLANET M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 9 | 51.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SUPER LEGENDS P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 6 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | HOLMES A COURT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 86.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 13 | EVERSTAR M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 67.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | AKASHVANI | 26.5% | 3.77 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | HAROLD WIN | 12.7% | 7.86 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS | 11.5% | 8.68 | 8 |
| 4 | 10 | ONE MORE | 9.2% | 10.86 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS | 6.9% | 14.48 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | SIX PACK | 6.7% | 14.84 | 4 |
| 7 | 14 | KEMPES | 4.6% | 21.71 | 1 |
| 8 | 13 | EVERSTAR | 4.3% | 23.23 | 14 |
| 9 | 6 | HAYDAY | 3.8% | 26.50 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | ONE MAN SHOW | 3.3% | 30.10 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPER LEGENDS | 3.3% | 30.61 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | SUGAR SUGAR | 2.9% | 34.76 | 6 |
| 13 | 11 | LUCKY PLANET | 2.5% | 40.11 | 11 |
| 14 | 3 | HOLMES A COURT | 1.7% | 57.62 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 313.5
PLACE
2 32.5
5 15.5
14 46.5
QUINELLA
5,14 544.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 68
2,14 396.5
5,14 170
FORECAST
14,5 1,419
TIERCE
14,5,2 14,850
TRIO
2,5,14 1,785
FIRST 4
1,2,5,14 5,713
QUARTET
14,5,2,1 184,949
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
3/5 238.5
3/14 4,293.5