沙田 · 2025-10-01 · 11:45
第 3場
2025-10-01沙田第3場，Class 5，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的RAGNARR勝出。NOBLE DELUXE獲得亞軍；RIDING HIGH獲得季軍。頭馬以4.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RAGNARR 1:08.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 4.0 | — |
| 2 | 5 | NOBLE DELUXE H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 9.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | RIDING HIGH J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 8 | 4.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | LUCKY BLESSING Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 4 | 7.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | EVER SMART A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | THE CONCENTRATION C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 9 | 55.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | HE WAS ME M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 11 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | GLORIOUS EXPERT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 30.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 2 | 7.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | PODIUM M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 1 | 42.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | SUPER CHARIZZARD B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 14 | 126.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 13 | DOUBLE SHOW K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 10 | 7.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | MODEST GENTLEMAN A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 13 | 29.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | CONCORDE STAR R Kingscote · Y S Tsui | R Kingscote | Y S Tsui | 12 | 139.0 | 18-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RAGNARR | 20.0% | 5.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 14.2% | 7.06 | 9 |
| 3 | 5 | NOBLE DELUXE | 10.4% | 9.65 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | LUCKY BLESSING | 9.4% | 10.63 | 4 |
| 5 | 14 | EVER SMART | 8.2% | 12.27 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | RIDING HIGH | 7.1% | 14.08 | 3 |
| 7 | 13 | DOUBLE SHOW | 5.3% | 18.74 | 12 |
| 8 | 11 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 4.9% | 20.33 | 13 |
| 9 | 8 | HE WAS ME | 4.0% | 24.85 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | GLORIOUS EXPERT | 3.9% | 25.79 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | THE CONCENTRATION | 3.7% | 26.71 | 6 |
| 12 | 4 | SUPER CHARIZZARD | 3.7% | 27.24 | 11 |
| 13 | 10 | PODIUM | 3.5% | 28.42 | 10 |
| 14 | 7 | CONCORDE STAR | 1.7% | 58.07 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 40.5
PLACE
1 18
5 27.5
6 16.5
QUINELLA
5,6 176.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 90
1,6 66
5,6 63.5
FORECAST
6,5 271
TIERCE
6,5,1 1,105
TRIO
1,5,6 254
FIRST 4
1,2,5,6 359
QUARTET
6,5,1,2 5,867
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
3/5 26
3/6 74