沙田 · 2025-10-01 · 00:56
第 1場
2025-10-01沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1400米。由P N Wong策騎、K L Man訓練的TSUEN WAN GLORY勝出。THE WAY WE WIN獲得亞軍；PANDA LEGEND獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.2倍大熱門YOUNG HORIZON跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | TSUEN WAN GLORY 一路領先 1:21.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 12 | 11.0 | — |
| 2 | 12 | THE WAY WE WIN H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 11 | 40.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | PANDA LEGEND 後段發力 R Kingscote · W Y So | R Kingscote | W Y So | 1 | 6.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | CASHISCASH 後段發力 H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 9 | 4.8 | 4 |
| 5 | 14 | LAPRAS M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 34.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | TEAM HAPPY A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 14 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | PHANTOM CYCLONE 後段發力 C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 2 | 50.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | WINDICATOR FAMILY 後段發力 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 5.1 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | YOUNG HORIZON K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 4 | 3.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | DRAGON SUNRISE 後段發力 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 40.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | COSMO LIGHT J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 5 | 170.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | COSMO NAVIGATOR K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 6 | 58.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | FAIRY HORSE A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 13 | 13.0 | 21-1/2 |
| — | 1 | IRON LEGION Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CASHISCASH | 24.4% | 4.10 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 14.0% | 7.14 | 8 |
| 3 | 9 | YOUNG HORIZON | 13.4% | 7.49 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | PANDA LEGEND | 9.5% | 10.51 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | TEAM HAPPY | 8.8% | 11.40 | 6 |
| 6 | 13 | FAIRY HORSE | 6.6% | 15.05 | 13 |
| 7 | 5 | DRAGON SUNRISE | 5.2% | 19.33 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 4.5% | 22.08 | 1 |
| 9 | 14 | LAPRAS | 4.1% | 24.21 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | THE WAY WE WIN | 3.2% | 31.15 | 2 |
| 11 | 10 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 2.6% | 39.21 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | COSMO NAVIGATOR | 2.2% | 46.05 | 12 |
| 13 | 3 | COSMO LIGHT | 1.5% | 64.73 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 116
PLACE
8 21
11 31.5
12 84
QUINELLA
11,12 1,541.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,11 129
8,12 406.5
11,12 454
FORECAST
11,12 2,813
TIERCE
11,12,8 32,067
TRIO
8,11,12 4,925
FIRST 4
2,8,11,12 5,790
QUARTET
11,12,8,2 175,555