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Sha Tin · 2025-10-01 · 13:02

Race 1

Class 5 1400m Course A+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 1:21.64
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 TSUEN WAN GLORY Wire to wire 1:21.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · K L Man 12 11.0 —
2 12 THE WAY WE WIN H Bentley · J Richards 11 40.0 2-1/2
3 8 PANDA LEGEND Closed strongly R Kingscote · W Y So 1 6.8 3-1/2
4 2 CASHISCASH Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Whyte 9 4.8 4
5 14 LAPRAS M Chadwick · W K Mo 3 34.0 5
6 6 TEAM HAPPY A Atzeni · P C Ng 14 14.0 5-1/4
7 10 PHANTOM CYCLONE Closed strongly C L Chau · K H Ting 2 50.0 5-3/4
8 4 WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall 8 5.1 6
9 9 YOUNG HORIZON K Teetan · B Crawford 4 3.2 6-1/4
10 5 DRAGON SUNRISE Closed strongly L Hewitson · K W Lui 7 40.0 7-3/4
11 3 COSMO LIGHT J Orman · Y S Tsui 5 170.0 9
12 7 COSMO NAVIGATOR K C Leung · C W Chang 6 58.0 12-1/2
13 13 FAIRY HORSE A Badel · C Fownes 13 13.0 21-1/2
— 1 IRON LEGION Y L Chung · A S Cruz — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-01 was Class 5 over 1400m. TSUEN WAN GLORY, ridden by P N Wong and trained by K L Man, won, with THE WAY WE WIN second and PANDA LEGEND third. The winner led throughout. The 3.2 favourite YOUNG HORIZON finished 9th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TSUEN WAN GLORY—2. THE WAY WE WIN+2.5L3. PANDA LEGEND+3.5L4. CASHISCASH+4L5. LAPRAS+5L6. TEAM HAPPY+5.25L7. PHANTOM CYCLONE+5.75L8. WINDICATOR FAMILY+6L9. YOUNG HORIZON+6.25L10. DRAGON SUNRISE+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CASHISCASH (24.4%) finished 4th — the winner TSUEN WAN GLORY was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 CASHISCASH 24.4% 4.10 4
2 4 WINDICATOR FAMILY 14.0% 7.14 8
3 9 YOUNG HORIZON 13.4% 7.49 9
4 8 PANDA LEGEND 9.5% 10.51 3
5 6 TEAM HAPPY 8.8% 11.40 6
6 13 FAIRY HORSE 6.6% 15.05 13
7 5 DRAGON SUNRISE 5.2% 19.33 10
8 11 TSUEN WAN GLORY 4.5% 22.08 1
9 14 LAPRAS 4.1% 24.21 5
10 12 THE WAY WE WIN 3.2% 31.15 2
11 10 PHANTOM CYCLONE 2.6% 39.21 7
12 7 COSMO NAVIGATOR 2.2% 46.05 12
13 3 COSMO LIGHT 1.5% 64.73 11
CASHISCASHWINDICATOR FAMILYYOUNG HORIZONPANDA LEGENDTEAM HAPPYFAIRY HORSEDRAGON SUNRISETSUEN WAN GLORY — wonLAPRASTHE WAY WE WINPHANTOM CYCLONECOSMO NAVIGATORCOSMO LIGHT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 116

PLACE

8 21

11 31.5

12 84

QUINELLA

11,12 1,541.5

QUINELLA PLACE

8,11 129

8,12 406.5

11,12 454

FORECAST

11,12 2,813

TIERCE

11,12,8 32,067

TRIO

8,11,12 4,925

FIRST 4

2,8,11,12 5,790

QUARTET

11,12,8,2 175,555