沙田 · 2025-10-01 · 00:56
第 4場
2025-10-01沙田第4場,Class 4,途程1200米。由A Atzeni策騎、W Y So訓練的SUNNY Q勝出。DO YOUR PART獲得亞軍;LUCKY MAN獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門DO YOUR PART跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | SUNNY Q 1:09.29 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 7 | 8.8 | — |
| 2 | 2 | DO YOUR PART K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 12 | 2.5 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | LUCKY MAN D Probert · D A Hayes | D Probert | D A Hayes | 3 | 7.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | REWARDING TWINKLE M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 2 | 5.3 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | KING GLORIOSO L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 90.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | AMAZING FUN J Orman · C H Yip | J Orman | C H Yip | 4 | 26.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | DANCING CLASSICS H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | GROOVY FEELING Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 13 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 3 | WARRIORS DREAM K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 8 | 123.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | CLUB ACE M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 1 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | NYX GLUCK C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 11 | 123.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | PRIDE BELIEVER A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 111.0 | 4-1/4 |
| — | 9 | FLASH STAR R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | REWARDING TWINKLE | 26.2% | 3.81 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | DO YOUR PART | 16.0% | 6.26 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | GROOVY FEELING | 14.4% | 6.94 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | DANCING CLASSICS | 9.8% | 10.22 | 8 |
| 5 | 14 | SUNNY Q | 6.5% | 15.36 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | NYX GLUCK | 5.5% | 18.09 | 12 |
| 7 | 12 | CLUB ACE | 5.2% | 19.13 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | LUCKY MAN | 5.1% | 19.63 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT | 3.5% | 28.36 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | PRIDE BELIEVER | 2.7% | 37.57 | 13 |
| 11 | 6 | AMAZING FUN | 2.2% | 45.75 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | KING GLORIOSO | 1.7% | 60.46 | 6 |
| 13 | 3 | WARRIORS DREAM | 1.2% | 82.71 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 88.5
PLACE
2 14
11 24.5
14 24
QUINELLA
2,14 157
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 48.5
2,14 63.5
11,14 126
FORECAST
14,2 447
TIERCE
14,2,11 3,415
TRIO
2,11,14 441
FIRST 4
2,7,11,14 897
QUARTET
14,2,11,7 21,680
全部彩池(另 2 項)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,6/11,14>2,9 17,770
3RD DOUBLE
6/2,9 36.5
6/14 325.5