沙田 · 2025-10-01 · 10:05
第 10場
2025-10-01沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米。由A Badel策騎、M Newnham訓練的MAX QUE勝出。SILVERY BREEZE獲得亞軍；TOP DRAGON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門TOP DRAGON跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MAX QUE 後段發力 1:21.14 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 2 | 3.9 | — |
| 2 | 5 | SILVERY BREEZE 後段發力 B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 4 | 10.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | TOP DRAGON 後段發力 Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 8 | 3.1 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | ANODE R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 14 | 123.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | OUTGATE 早段領放 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | SHAMUS STORM 後段發力 A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 13 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | SKY VINO 後段發力 E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 9.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | TOP GUN K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | PRESTIGE RICKY D Probert · P F Yiu | D Probert | P F Yiu | 1 | 56.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | LUCKY MY WAY K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 2 | SUPERB KID L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 7 | 52.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | MUST GO H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 3 | 87.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | SHARPEN BRIGHT 後段發力 P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 12 | 69.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | KA YING SUPERB M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 9 | 13.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TOP DRAGON | 20.8% | 4.80 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | MAX QUE | 19.2% | 5.21 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | LUCKY MY WAY | 12.3% | 8.16 | 10 |
| 4 | 8 | TOP GUN | 6.8% | 14.74 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | KA YING SUPERB | 6.6% | 15.25 | 14 |
| 6 | 5 | SILVERY BREEZE | 6.2% | 16.19 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | SHAMUS STORM | 5.8% | 17.20 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | SKY VINO | 5.6% | 17.83 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | OUTGATE | 4.1% | 24.33 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | SUPERB KID | 3.7% | 27.39 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | MUST GO | 3.6% | 27.45 | 12 |
| 12 | 13 | PRESTIGE RICKY | 2.2% | 45.92 | 9 |
| 13 | 14 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 2.1% | 48.18 | 13 |
| 14 | 3 | ANODE | 1.1% | 89.86 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 39
PLACE
4 15.5
5 28
12 15.5
QUINELLA
5,12 189.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 69
4,12 34.5
5,12 64.5
FORECAST
12,5 349
TIERCE
12,5,4 1,608
TRIO
4,5,12 236
FIRST 4
3,4,5,12 6,935
QUARTET
12,5,4,3 127,500
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
3/14/5 11,692
3/14/12 65,855
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,14/4,5,12 67,797
9TH DOUBLE
14/5 783
14/12 2,074
SIX UP
1,4/3,8/3,5/3,5/5,14/5,12 7,714
1 [Z Purton] —
3 [K L Man] —