Happy Valley · 2025-10-15 · 11:12
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-15 was Class 4 over 1650m. CELTIC TIMES, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K L Man, won, with CHAIN OF GOLD second and SAMARKAND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite NORTHERN BEAST finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly 1:39.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 9 | 30.0 | — |
| 2 | 3 | CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 12 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | SAMARKAND Led early L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 7 | 4.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | NORTHERN BEAST Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 3.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 9.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 11 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | HANDSOME BOMB A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 5 | 7.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | METAL KING M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 3 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | PERPETUAL POWER Closed strongly M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 8 | 70.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | NO OTHER CHOICE D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 6 | 20.0 | 13 |
| 11 | 4 | WITHOUT DELAY J Orman · D Eustace | J Orman | D Eustace | 2 | 15.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | MASSIVE FIRE C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 67.0 | 16-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | NORTHERN BEAST | 30.0% | 3.33 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | SAMARKAND | 10.7% | 9.35 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 9.4% | 10.63 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | PRINCE ALEX | 8.8% | 11.41 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | NO OTHER CHOICE | 8.2% | 12.25 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | HANDSOME BOMB | 7.9% | 12.73 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 5.3% | 18.92 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | WITHOUT DELAY | 5.2% | 19.37 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | METAL KING | 4.4% | 22.81 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | CELTIC TIMES | 3.7% | 26.92 | 1 |
| 11 | 5 | MASSIVE FIRE | 3.6% | 27.97 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | PERPETUAL POWER | 2.9% | 33.99 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 309.5
PLACE
1 15.5
3 33
10 75
QUINELLA
3,10 1,730
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 83
1,10 182
3,10 490.5
FORECAST
10,3 3,780
TIERCE
10,3,1 22,284
TRIO
1,3,10 2,284
FIRST 4
1,2,3,10 1,075
QUARTET
10,3,1,2 43,419
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/3 251
10/10 4,049.5