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Happy Valley · 2025-10-15 · 19:11

Race 2

Class 4 1650m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1:39.89
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly 1:39.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K L Man 9 30.0 —
2 3 CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly K C Leung · W K Mo 12 12.0 1-1/2
3 1 SAMARKAND Led early L Hewitson · D A Hayes 7 4.2 1-1/2
4 2 NORTHERN BEAST Z Purton · D J Hall 1 3.0 3-1/4
5 6 GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly M Chadwick · F C Lor 10 9.8 4-3/4
6 7 PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Whyte 11 14.0 5-3/4
7 12 HANDSOME BOMB A Atzeni · W Y So 5 7.4 5-3/4
8 8 METAL KING M F Poon · K H Ting 3 11.0 5-3/4
9 11 PERPETUAL POWER Closed strongly M L Yeung · C W Chang 8 70.0 7-3/4
10 9 NO OTHER CHOICE D Probert · C Fownes 6 20.0 13
11 4 WITHOUT DELAY J Orman · D Eustace 2 15.0 15-3/4
12 5 MASSIVE FIRE C L Chau · C S Shum 4 67.0 16-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-15 was Class 4 over 1650m. CELTIC TIMES, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K L Man, won, with CHAIN OF GOLD second and SAMARKAND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite NORTHERN BEAST finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CELTIC TIMES—2. CHAIN OF GOLD+1.5L3. SAMARKAND+1.5L4. NORTHERN BEAST+3.25L5. GLORIOUS JOURNEY+4.75L6. PRINCE ALEX+5.75L7. HANDSOME BOMB+5.75L8. METAL KING+5.75L9. PERPETUAL POWER+7.75L10. NO OTHER CHOICE+13L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick NORTHERN BEAST (30.0%) finished 4th — the winner CELTIC TIMES was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 NORTHERN BEAST 30.0% 3.33 4
2 1 SAMARKAND 10.7% 9.35 3
3 6 GLORIOUS JOURNEY 9.4% 10.63 5
4 7 PRINCE ALEX 8.8% 11.41 6
5 9 NO OTHER CHOICE 8.2% 12.25 10
6 12 HANDSOME BOMB 7.9% 12.73 7
7 3 CHAIN OF GOLD 5.3% 18.92 2
8 4 WITHOUT DELAY 5.2% 19.37 11
9 8 METAL KING 4.4% 22.81 8
10 10 CELTIC TIMES 3.7% 26.92 1
11 5 MASSIVE FIRE 3.6% 27.97 12
12 11 PERPETUAL POWER 2.9% 33.99 9
NORTHERN BEASTSAMARKANDGLORIOUS JOURNEYPRINCE ALEXNO OTHER CHOICEHANDSOME BOMBCHAIN OF GOLDWITHOUT DELAYMETAL KINGCELTIC TIMES — wonMASSIVE FIREPERPETUAL POWER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 309.5

PLACE

1 15.5

3 33

10 75

QUINELLA

3,10 1,730

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 83

1,10 182

3,10 490.5

FORECAST

10,3 3,780

TIERCE

10,3,1 22,284

TRIO

1,3,10 2,284

FIRST 4

1,2,3,10 1,075

QUARTET

10,3,1,2 43,419

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

10/3 251

10/10 4,049.5