Happy Valley · 2025-10-15 · 13:51
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-15 was Class 2 over 1800m. SPEED DRAGON, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won, with CALIFORNIATOTALITY second and ENCOUNTERED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite LO RIDER finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SPEED DRAGON Closed strongly 1:47.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 8.6 | — |
| 2 | 2 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY Closed strongly A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.4 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | ENCOUNTERED Closed strongly K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 4 | 3.5 | N |
| 4 | 4 | HELENE FEELING C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 8 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | JUMBO LEGEND E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | WINNING DRAGON B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 33.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | LO RIDER H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 9 | 3.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 6 | 62.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CHILL CHIBI H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 5 | 12.0 | 35-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LO RIDER | 30.3% | 3.30 | 8 |
| 2 | 8 | SPEED DRAGON | 19.2% | 5.20 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | ENCOUNTERED | 10.6% | 9.45 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 10.4% | 9.62 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | JUMBO LEGEND | 10.1% | 9.90 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | CHILL CHIBI | 9.0% | 11.09 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 2.7% | 36.42 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 2.7% | 37.55 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | WINNING DRAGON | 2.6% | 37.93 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | HELENE FEELING | 2.3% | 44.23 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 86.5
PLACE
2 27.5
3 14.5
8 24.5
QUINELLA
2,8 321.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 48.5
2,8 99.5
3,8 55
FORECAST
8,2 715
TIERCE
8,2,3 3,235
TRIO
2,3,8 402
FIRST 4
2,3,4,8 903
QUARTET
8,2,3,4 25,408
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,5/2,3,8 2,790
6TH DOUBLE
5/2 48
5/8 153
TRIPLE TRIO
5,8,11/1,3,5/2,3,8 1,428,930
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,8,11/1,3,5/Any Combination 19,915