Happy Valley · 2025-10-15 · 20:46
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FANTASTIC FUN Closed strongly 1:40.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 1 | 4.9 | — |
| 2 | 11 | ACE WAR Closed strongly D Probert · D J Whyte | D Probert | D J Whyte | 4 | 25.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | GLORIOUS RYDER Closed strongly L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 6 | 49.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | FOREVER GLORIOUS Led early K De Melo · B Crawford | K De Melo | B Crawford | 2 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | YOUNG FIGHTER R Kingscote · C Fownes | R Kingscote | C Fownes | 3 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | GALE SAGA A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 5.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | SMART CITY Closed strongly M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | YOUTH POWER E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 7 | 7.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY Closed strongly K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 11 | 37.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | FORTUNATE SON K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 12 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 8 | 5.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | STAR GLOW C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 62.0 | 26-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-15 was Class 4 over 1650m. FANTASTIC FUN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won, with ACE WAR second and GLORIOUS RYDER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FANTASTIC FUN | 22.1% | 4.52 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | YOUTH POWER | 16.1% | 6.21 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 11.6% | 8.61 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE | 10.2% | 9.79 | 11 |
| 5 | 6 | SMART CITY | 9.6% | 10.46 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | FORTUNATE SON | 8.3% | 12.01 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | GALE SAGA | 7.8% | 12.83 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | YOUNG FIGHTER | 7.0% | 14.37 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | ACE WAR | 2.2% | 45.66 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 1.9% | 53.74 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | STAR GLOW | 1.8% | 56.71 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | GLORIOUS RYDER | 1.5% | 66.40 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 49.5
PLACE
5 21
8 121.5
11 76.5
QUINELLA
5,11 685
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 508
5,11 212.5
8,11 1,202
FORECAST
5,11 1,151
TIERCE
5,11,8 31,872
TRIO
5,8,11 10,488
FIRST 4
4,5,8,11 8,215
QUARTET
5,11,8,4 217,811
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/9/5 2,592
1/9/11 1,975
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,9/5,8,11 1,061,333
4TH DOUBLE
9/5 651
9/11 438