Happy Valley · 2025-10-15 · 13:17
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-15 was Class 4 over 1200m. MR DESIRA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won, with FIND MY LOVE second and TOURBILLON GOLFER third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MR DESIRA 1:09.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 2.5 | — |
| 2 | 1 | FIND MY LOVE H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 9 | 5.9 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | TOURBILLON GOLFER Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 10 | 3.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 1 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | ZETTA FORCE K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 3 | 9.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | LEGENDARY IMPACT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 12 | 120.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | STAR PERFORMER D Probert · M Newnham | D Probert | M Newnham | 4 | 50.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | GOLDEN FORTUNE A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 8 | 39.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | GREAT LEGACY J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 5 | 101.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | RUNJEET L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 7 | 23.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | CIRCUIT DUFFY K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 63.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | DR GOLDEN GENERAL B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 72.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MR DESIRA | 35.5% | 2.82 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | TOURBILLON GOLFER | 23.3% | 4.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | ZETTA FORCE | 10.7% | 9.35 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | FIND MY LOVE | 9.7% | 10.31 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT | 5.7% | 17.47 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | RUNJEET | 4.1% | 24.42 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | GOLDEN FORTUNE | 3.4% | 29.61 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | CIRCUIT DUFFY | 2.0% | 49.07 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | LEGENDARY IMPACT | 2.0% | 49.10 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | STAR PERFORMER | 1.6% | 62.47 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | GREAT LEGACY | 1.1% | 94.88 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | DR GOLDEN GENERAL | 1.0% | 104.28 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 25.5
PLACE
1 16.5
3 14
5 13
QUINELLA
1,5 76
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 32
1,5 29.5
3,5 20.5
FORECAST
5,1 134
TIERCE
5,1,3 301
TRIO
1,3,5 56
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 77
QUARTET
5,1,3,6 1,237
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
5/1 55
5/5 168