Happy Valley · 2025-12-10 · 18:31
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly 1:40.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 3.9 | — |
| 2 | 3 | STERLING WONGCHOY Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 3 | 4.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | PERFECTO MOMENTS Led early M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 8 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | TSUEN WAN GLORY H Doyle · K L Man | H Doyle | K L Man | 1 | 9.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | SOARING BRONCO Closed strongly M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 10 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 2 | 6.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | DRAGON SUNRISE L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | IRON LEGION Closed strongly Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | BINGO BABE Closed strongly H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 86.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | WINDICATOR FAMILY J McDonald · D J Hall | J McDonald | D J Hall | 5 | 8.5 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | REWARDING TWINKLE K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | LUCKY BLESSING M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 11 | 14.0 | 13-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-10 was Class 5 over 1650m. FAMILY FORTUNE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with STERLING WONGCHOY second and PERFECTO MOMENTS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 19.0% | 5.26 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 11.9% | 8.41 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | LUCKY BLESSING | 9.6% | 10.46 | 12 |
| 4 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY | 9.2% | 10.87 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 8.7% | 11.47 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | PERFECTO MOMENTS | 8.7% | 11.49 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 8.5% | 11.75 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | REWARDING TWINKLE | 8.5% | 11.80 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | SOARING BRONCO | 6.2% | 16.21 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | DRAGON SUNRISE | 5.6% | 17.91 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | IRON LEGION | 2.7% | 37.09 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | BINGO BABE | 1.5% | 67.72 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 39
PLACE
3 18
9 18
11 58
QUINELLA
3,9 118
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 49
3,11 156.5
9,11 119.5
FORECAST
9,3 252
TIERCE
9,3,11 2,866
TRIO
3,9,11 741
FIRST 4
3,6,9,11 865
QUARTET
9,3,11,6 16,763