Happy Valley · 2025-12-10 · 13:15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-10 was Class 4 over 1200m. FREE PONY, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by C W Chang, won, with FLYING WROTE second and WINNING MONEY third. The 3.3 favourite ARGENTO OCEAN finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FREE PONY 1:09.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 19.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | FLYING WROTE C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.8 | HD |
| 3 | 10 | WINNING MONEY Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 6 | 3.9 | N |
| 4 | 8 | PRESTIGE HALL J McDonald · D J Hall | J McDonald | D J Hall | 12 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | ARGENTO OCEAN H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 1 | 3.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | SAVVY TWINKLE H Doyle · F C Lor | H Doyle | F C Lor | 8 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | WIN METHOD H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 11 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | MARVEL AND GOLD B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 10 | 78.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | POWER SUMMIT D Probert · D Eustace | D Probert | D Eustace | 3 | 75.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | SKY CAP J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 5.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | WATCH THIS ONE M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 7 | 52.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | WAVE GARDEN L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 43.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WINNING MONEY | 30.7% | 3.26 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | ARGENTO OCEAN | 16.5% | 6.06 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | SKY CAP | 14.0% | 7.16 | 10 |
| 4 | 4 | FLYING WROTE | 13.1% | 7.62 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | SAVVY TWINKLE | 6.1% | 16.39 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | PRESTIGE HALL | 5.4% | 18.53 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | WIN METHOD | 4.8% | 20.91 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | FREE PONY | 3.4% | 29.25 | 1 |
| 9 | 5 | WAVE GARDEN | 2.3% | 43.55 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | WATCH THIS ONE | 1.9% | 53.00 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | MARVEL AND GOLD | 1.0% | 97.58 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | POWER SUMMIT | 0.8% | 125.67 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 190
PLACE
4 18
7 44.5
10 16
QUINELLA
4,7 568
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 143.5
4,10 38.5
7,10 143.5
FORECAST
7,4 1,363
TIERCE
7,4,10 5,670
TRIO
4,7,10 507
FIRST 4
4,7,8,10 1,896
QUARTET
7,4,10,8 75,105
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
3/4 25.5
3/7 369