Happy Valley · 2025-12-10 · 15:00
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-10 was Class 2 over 1800m. HELENE FEELING, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won, with AWESOME FLUKE second and NUMBERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HELENE FEELING Closed strongly 1:49.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 1 | 4.8 | — |
| 2 | 8 | AWESOME FLUKE Closed strongly A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 9 | 23.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | NUMBERS Led early K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SPEED DRAGON Closed strongly M Barzalona · K W Lui | M Barzalona | K W Lui | 10 | 9.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SKY HEART U Rispoli · C Fownes | U Rispoli | C Fownes | 3 | 4.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | KEEFY M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 24.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | HUGE WAVE M Guyon · K H Ting | M Guyon | K H Ting | 12 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | BRAVEHEARTS Closed strongly M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 7 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | THE BOOM BOX C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 6.1 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | JOHANNES BRAHMS J McDonald · P C Ng | J McDonald | P C Ng | 8 | 11.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | LA CITY BLANCHE H Doyle · A S Cruz | H Doyle | A S Cruz | 6 | 32.0 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SPEED DRAGON | 16.6% | 6.01 | 4 |
| 2 | 11 | THE BOOM BOX | 16.5% | 6.05 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | JOHANNES BRAHMS | 11.5% | 8.73 | 11 |
| 4 | 7 | SKY HEART | 10.1% | 9.93 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | HELENE FEELING | 8.1% | 12.28 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | JUMBO LEGEND | 7.2% | 13.82 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | HUGE WAVE | 6.9% | 14.41 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | NUMBERS | 6.1% | 16.45 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | BRAVEHEARTS | 4.9% | 20.45 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | AWESOME FLUKE | 4.8% | 20.68 | 2 |
| 11 | 9 | KEEFY | 4.8% | 20.85 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 2.4% | 41.96 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 48
PLACE
3 17.5
8 60
10 50
QUINELLA
3,8 599
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 175.5
3,10 152.5
8,10 504
FORECAST
3,8 913
TIERCE
3,8,10 13,713
TRIO
3,8,10 2,352
FIRST 4
2,3,8,10 2,648
QUARTET
3,8,10,2 57,350
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
3/7/3 7,238
3/7/8 4,962
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
7,11,12/3,8,10 1,163,221
8TH DOUBLE
7/3 1,534.5
7/8 641.5
SIX UP
8,11/3,12/4,7/2,3/7,12/3,8 6,796
11/3/7/3/7/3 2,584,479
1 [C Fownes] —