Happy Valley · 2025-12-10 · 13:45
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-10 was Class 3 over 1650m. SILVERY BREEZE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D Eustace, won, with FLYING FORTRESS second and MAX QUE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SILVERY BREEZE Closed strongly 1:40.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 6 | 3.9 | — |
| 2 | 2 | FLYING FORTRESS Closed strongly Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 5 | 5.1 | N |
| 3 | 6 | MAX QUE Closed strongly C Y Ho · M Newnham | C Y Ho | M Newnham | 8 | 5.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | THRIVING BROTHERS H Doyle · C H Yip | H Doyle | C H Yip | 1 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | HIGHLAND RAHY U Rispoli · K W Lui | U Rispoli | K W Lui | 12 | 37.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | ANOTHER ZONDA J McDonald · Y S Tsui | J McDonald | Y S Tsui | 7 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | BEAUTY GLORY J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 3 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SAMARKAND Led early R King · D A Hayes | R King | D A Hayes | 2 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | SOLID WIN Closed strongly C Lemaire · P F Yiu | C Lemaire | P F Yiu | 10 | 8.4 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | IVY LEAGUE M Barzalona · D J Whyte | M Barzalona | D J Whyte | 9 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | STORMING DRAGON R Moore · J Richards | R Moore | J Richards | 4 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS W Buick · A S Cruz | W Buick | A S Cruz | 11 | 31.0 | 8-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MAX QUE | 16.6% | 6.03 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | SILVERY BREEZE | 15.5% | 6.47 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | FLYING FORTRESS | 13.9% | 7.20 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | BEAUTY GLORY | 11.5% | 8.67 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | SOLID WIN | 11.4% | 8.77 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | SAMARKAND | 6.1% | 16.28 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | IVY LEAGUE | 5.3% | 18.87 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 4.9% | 20.36 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | ANOTHER ZONDA | 4.2% | 23.92 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | STORMING DRAGON | 3.9% | 25.75 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 3.5% | 28.73 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 3.3% | 30.76 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 39
PLACE
2 18.5
3 14.5
6 20
QUINELLA
2,3 106
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 41
2,6 61.5
3,6 46
FORECAST
3,2 204
TIERCE
3,2,6 505
TRIO
2,3,6 105
FIRST 4
2,3,6,9 589
QUARTET
3,2,6,9 8,114
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,10/2,3,6 7,316
6TH DOUBLE
7/2 191.5
7/3 997.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,12/4,7,10/2,3,6 238,953
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,12/4,7,10/Any Combination 4,779