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Happy Valley · 2025-12-10 · 21:41

Race 7

Class 3 1650m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1:40.03
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 SILVERY BREEZE Closed strongly 1:40.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D Eustace 6 3.9 —
2 2 FLYING FORTRESS Closed strongly Z Purton · W K Mo 5 5.1 N
3 6 MAX QUE Closed strongly C Y Ho · M Newnham 8 5.7 1
4 9 THRIVING BROTHERS H Doyle · C H Yip 1 13.0 2
5 1 HIGHLAND RAHY U Rispoli · K W Lui 12 37.0 2-1/2
6 5 ANOTHER ZONDA J McDonald · Y S Tsui 7 15.0 3-1/2
7 12 BEAUTY GLORY J Moreira · A S Cruz 3 12.0 3-3/4
8 8 SAMARKAND Led early R King · D A Hayes 2 21.0 4-1/4
9 11 SOLID WIN Closed strongly C Lemaire · P F Yiu 10 8.4 5
10 10 IVY LEAGUE M Barzalona · D J Whyte 9 11.0 5-1/4
11 4 STORMING DRAGON R Moore · J Richards 4 18.0 6
12 7 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS W Buick · A S Cruz 11 31.0 8-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-10 was Class 3 over 1650m. SILVERY BREEZE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D Eustace, won, with FLYING FORTRESS second and MAX QUE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SILVERY BREEZE—2. FLYING FORTRESS+0.05L3. MAX QUE+1L4. THRIVING BROTHERS+2L5. HIGHLAND RAHY+2.5L6. ANOTHER ZONDA+3.5L7. BEAUTY GLORY+3.75L8. SAMARKAND+4.25L9. SOLID WIN+5L10. IVY LEAGUE+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick MAX QUE (16.6%) finished 3rd — the winner SILVERY BREEZE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 MAX QUE 16.6% 6.03 3
2 3 SILVERY BREEZE 15.5% 6.47 1
3 2 FLYING FORTRESS 13.9% 7.20 2
4 12 BEAUTY GLORY 11.5% 8.67 7
5 11 SOLID WIN 11.4% 8.77 9
6 8 SAMARKAND 6.1% 16.28 8
7 10 IVY LEAGUE 5.3% 18.87 10
8 9 THRIVING BROTHERS 4.9% 20.36 4
9 5 ANOTHER ZONDA 4.2% 23.92 6
10 4 STORMING DRAGON 3.9% 25.75 11
11 1 HIGHLAND RAHY 3.5% 28.73 5
12 7 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS 3.3% 30.76 12
MAX QUESILVERY BREEZE — wonFLYING FORTRESSBEAUTY GLORYSOLID WINSAMARKANDIVY LEAGUETHRIVING BROTHERSANOTHER ZONDASTORMING DRAGONHIGHLAND RAHYVIVA GRACIOUSNESS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 39

PLACE

2 18.5

3 14.5

6 20

QUINELLA

2,3 106

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 41

2,6 61.5

3,6 46

FORECAST

3,2 204

TIERCE

3,2,6 505

TRIO

2,3,6 105

FIRST 4

2,3,6,9 589

QUARTET

3,2,6,9 8,114

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,7,10/2,3,6 7,316

6TH DOUBLE

7/2 191.5

7/3 997.5

TRIPLE TRIO

1,3,12/4,7,10/2,3,6 238,953

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,3,12/4,7,10/Any Combination 4,779