Happy Valley · 2025-12-10 · 11:05
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-10 was Class 5 over 1200m. LUCKY GENERATIONS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with RIDING HIGH second and NOBLE DELUXE third. The 2.7 favourite RIDING HIGH finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | LUCKY GENERATIONS 1:10.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 6.1 | — |
| 2 | 6 | RIDING HIGH H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 3 | 2.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | NOBLE DELUXE A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 21.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | PODIUM C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 5 | 8.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | GOOD PROSPECT K C Leung · B Crawford | K C Leung | B Crawford | 1 | 6.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 6.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | TALENTS SUPREMO H Doyle · C S Shum | H Doyle | C S Shum | 10 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | TELECOM POWER C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 2 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | SHINE BRIGHT U Rispoli · C H Yip | U Rispoli | C H Yip | 11 | 49.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | CHILL MASTER M Guyon · K L Man | M Guyon | K L Man | 12 | 53.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | MR GOOD VIBES M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 28.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 9 | 50.0 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RIDING HIGH | 22.3% | 4.49 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | LUCKY GENERATIONS | 18.4% | 5.44 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | GOOD PROSPECT | 11.8% | 8.50 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 11.0% | 9.05 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | PODIUM | 7.1% | 14.04 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | TELECOM POWER | 6.8% | 14.69 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 4.9% | 20.40 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | NOBLE DELUXE | 4.5% | 22.40 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | SHINE BRIGHT | 3.8% | 26.00 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | MR GOOD VIBES | 3.8% | 26.07 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 2.9% | 33.94 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | CHILL MASTER | 2.6% | 38.13 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 61
PLACE
6 15
10 47
12 21.5
QUINELLA
6,12 103.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 110.5
6,12 38.5
10,12 195
FORECAST
12,6 212
TIERCE
12,6,10 2,583
TRIO
6,10,12 553
FIRST 4
5,6,10,12 881
QUARTET
12,6,10,5 14,967
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
9/6 29.5
9/12 235.5