跑馬地 · 2025-12-10 · 13:15
第 6場
2025-12-10跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米。由M L Yeung策騎、C W Chang訓練的FREE PONY勝出。FLYING WROTE獲得亞軍；WINNING MONEY獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門ARGENTO OCEAN跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FREE PONY 1:09.90 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 19.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | FLYING WROTE C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.8 | HD |
| 3 | 10 | WINNING MONEY Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 6 | 3.9 | N |
| 4 | 8 | PRESTIGE HALL J McDonald · D J Hall | J McDonald | D J Hall | 12 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | ARGENTO OCEAN H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 1 | 3.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | SAVVY TWINKLE H Doyle · F C Lor | H Doyle | F C Lor | 8 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | WIN METHOD H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 11 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | MARVEL AND GOLD B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 10 | 78.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | POWER SUMMIT D Probert · D Eustace | D Probert | D Eustace | 3 | 75.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | SKY CAP J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 5.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | WATCH THIS ONE M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 7 | 52.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | WAVE GARDEN L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 43.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WINNING MONEY | 30.7% | 3.26 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | ARGENTO OCEAN | 16.5% | 6.06 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | SKY CAP | 14.0% | 7.16 | 10 |
| 4 | 4 | FLYING WROTE | 13.1% | 7.62 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | SAVVY TWINKLE | 6.1% | 16.39 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | PRESTIGE HALL | 5.4% | 18.53 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | WIN METHOD | 4.8% | 20.91 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | FREE PONY | 3.4% | 29.25 | 1 |
| 9 | 5 | WAVE GARDEN | 2.3% | 43.55 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | WATCH THIS ONE | 1.9% | 53.00 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | MARVEL AND GOLD | 1.0% | 97.58 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | POWER SUMMIT | 0.8% | 125.67 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 190
PLACE
4 18
7 44.5
10 16
QUINELLA
4,7 568
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 143.5
4,10 38.5
7,10 143.5
FORECAST
7,4 1,363
TIERCE
7,4,10 5,670
TRIO
4,7,10 507
FIRST 4
4,7,8,10 1,896
QUARTET
7,4,10,8 75,105
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
3/4 25.5
3/7 369