跑馬地 · 2025-12-10 · 14:15
第 8場
2025-12-10跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米。由R Moore策騎、F C Lor訓練的TRIUMPHANT MORE勝出。TOURBILLON GOLFER獲得亞軍；MIGHTY COMMANDER獲得季軍。5.4倍大熱門MR DESIRA跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | TRIUMPHANT MORE 1:10.00 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Moore · F C Lor | R Moore | F C Lor | 10 | 23.0 | — |
| 2 | 12 | TOURBILLON GOLFER U Rispoli · P F Yiu | U Rispoli | P F Yiu | 5 | 6.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | MIGHTY COMMANDER C Lemaire · C Fownes | C Lemaire | C Fownes | 11 | 7.6 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | MR DESIRA H Doyle · C Fownes | H Doyle | C Fownes | 1 | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | ROMANTIC SON R King · D A Hayes | R King | D A Hayes | 4 | 9.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | NEVER TOO SOON J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 8 | 27.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | POWER KOEPP H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 3 | 7.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | WONDERSTAR C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 9 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | AKASHVANI J McDonald · D A Hayes | J McDonald | D A Hayes | 6 | 7.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | KYRUS DRAGON Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 9.4 | 3 |
| 11 | 8 | BUNDLE OF CHARM W Buick · J Size | W Buick | J Size | 2 | 9.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | PAKISTAN LEGACY M Barzalona · W Y So | M Barzalona | W Y So | 7 | 23.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | TOURBILLON GOLFER | 22.2% | 4.51 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | MR DESIRA | 20.7% | 4.84 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | AKASHVANI | 9.7% | 10.28 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | POWER KOEPP | 8.7% | 11.50 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | KYRUS DRAGON | 7.3% | 13.79 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 6.0% | 16.67 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | WONDERSTAR | 5.3% | 18.99 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | TRIUMPHANT MORE | 4.5% | 22.42 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | ROMANTIC SON | 4.4% | 22.55 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | PAKISTAN LEGACY | 4.2% | 23.98 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 3.7% | 27.39 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | NEVER TOO SOON | 3.5% | 28.48 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 236
PLACE
7 63.5
11 35
12 25.5
QUINELLA
7,12 828.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,11 302
7,12 278
11,12 112.5
FORECAST
7,12 2,200
TIERCE
7,12,11 12,268
TRIO
7,11,12 2,688
FIRST 4
7,9,11,12 2,405
QUARTET
7,12,11,9 81,976
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
3/7 1,440
3/12 72.5
7 [R Moore] —