跑馬地 · 2025-12-10 · 12:15
第 4場
2025-12-10跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1000米。由W Buick策騎、K L Man訓練的BUNTA BABY勝出。BEAUTY THUNDER獲得亞軍；HEALTHY HEALTHY獲得季軍。4.5倍大熱門SUPER SIXTY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | BUNTA BABY 0:57.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） W Buick · K L Man | W Buick | K L Man | 5 | 8.9 | — |
| 2 | 8 | BEAUTY THUNDER Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 8 | 6.4 | N |
| 3 | 1 | HEALTHY HEALTHY J McDonald · P C Ng | J McDonald | P C Ng | 12 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | STAR PERFORMER H Doyle · M Newnham | H Doyle | M Newnham | 3 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SUPER SIXTY J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 4.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE U Rispoli · D J Whyte | U Rispoli | D J Whyte | 9 | 37.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | LEAN MASTER C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 1 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | WINNING CHAMPION R Moore · C S Shum | R Moore | C S Shum | 6 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | CAP LINER M Barzalona · J Richards | M Barzalona | J Richards | 4 | 9.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SNOWTHORN R King · P F Yiu | R King | P F Yiu | 10 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | HONEST WITNESS C Lemaire · D A Hayes | C Lemaire | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | ZETA HEDGE H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 7 | 13.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ZETA HEDGE | 15.1% | 6.61 | 12 |
| 2 | 8 | BEAUTY THUNDER | 12.2% | 8.19 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | HONEST WITNESS | 10.8% | 9.30 | 11 |
| 4 | 6 | CAP LINER | 9.7% | 10.27 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | SUPER SIXTY | 8.7% | 11.45 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | BUNTA BABY | 8.2% | 12.22 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | SNOWTHORN | 6.5% | 15.33 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 6.5% | 15.34 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE | 5.9% | 16.98 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | WINNING CHAMPION | 5.8% | 17.34 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | LEAN MASTER | 5.3% | 18.78 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | STAR PERFORMER | 5.2% | 19.11 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 89.5
PLACE
1 37
8 23.5
11 27.5
QUINELLA
8,11 284.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 144
1,11 182.5
8,11 91.5
FORECAST
11,8 626
TIERCE
11,8,1 6,259
TRIO
1,8,11 1,213
FIRST 4
1,8,9,11 5,541
QUARTET
11,8,1,9 113,669
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
1/8 1,259.5
1/11 8,406.5