跑馬地 · 2025-12-10 · 12:45
第 5場
2025-12-10跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1650米。由R Moore策騎、C Fownes訓練的CORLEONE勝出。ACE WAR獲得亞軍；FORTUNATE SON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以1.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CORLEONE 後段發力 1:40.10 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Moore · C Fownes | R Moore | C Fownes | 2 | 1.8 | — |
| 2 | 12 | ACE WAR 後段發力 R King · D J Whyte | R King | D J Whyte | 1 | 7.3 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | FORTUNATE SON C Y Ho · W K Mo | C Y Ho | W K Mo | 4 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | AMAZING GAZE 後段發力 M Barzalona · D A Hayes | M Barzalona | D A Hayes | 3 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | QUANTUM PATCH 後段發力 J Moreira · P C Ng | J Moreira | P C Ng | 7 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | YOUTH POWER 早段領放 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY 後段發力 H Doyle · C H Yip | H Doyle | C H Yip | 8 | 43.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | STAR MAC 後段發力 J McDonald · D A Hayes | J McDonald | D A Hayes | 10 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | CAN'T GO WONG 後段發力 U Rispoli · F C Lor | U Rispoli | F C Lor | 11 | 51.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | FOREVER GLORIOUS H Bowman · B Crawford | H Bowman | B Crawford | 6 | 37.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | TAKE ACTION C Lemaire · J Size | C Lemaire | J Size | 9 | 35.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | CHAIN OF GOLD W Buick · W K Mo | W Buick | W K Mo | 12 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CORLEONE | 31.2% | 3.20 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | YOUTH POWER | 15.6% | 6.41 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | AMAZING GAZE | 9.2% | 10.91 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | ACE WAR | 7.7% | 12.91 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | STAR MAC | 7.5% | 13.32 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | QUANTUM PATCH | 5.8% | 17.32 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | FORTUNATE SON | 4.7% | 21.17 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 4.2% | 23.92 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | CAN'T GO WONG | 4.0% | 24.74 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 3.9% | 25.65 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | TAKE ACTION | 3.7% | 27.11 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 2.4% | 41.16 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 18.5
PLACE
1 28.5
3 12
12 22.5
QUINELLA
3,12 62.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 52
1,12 104.5
3,12 32.5
FORECAST
3,12 115
TIERCE
3,12,1 762
TRIO
1,3,12 289
FIRST 4
1,3,6,12 403
QUARTET
3,12,1,6 4,998
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
1/11/3 17,852
1/11/12 10,336
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,11/1,3,12 27,888
4TH DOUBLE
11/3 168.5
11/12 161