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Happy Valley · 2026-05-13 · 10:40

MAISONS-LAFFITTE HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 1 ("MAISONS-LAFFITTE HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-13 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PODIUM, ridden by E Brown and trained by D Eustace, won, with SETANTA second and WAH MAY WAI WAI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite TELECOM POWER finished 4th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:39.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 PODIUM Closed strongly B/TT 1:39.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E Brown · D Eustace 3 8.9
2 3 SETANTA Closed strongly B2/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 6 20.0 SH
3 12 WAH MAY WAI WAI Closed strongly K Teetan · A S Cruz 12 13.0 1/2
4 5 TELECOM POWER B-/V1 M Chadwick · Y S Tsui 1 3.6 1/2
5 6 ZETTA FORCE Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C H Yip 4 15.0 1-1/4
6 8 MANYTHANKS FOREVER V/TT A Atzeni · W Y So 11 60.0 2-1/4
7 10 SMILING EMPEROR Closed strongly CP/XB A Badel · K H Ting 7 10.0 3
8 2 PRINCE ALEX B-/XB/CP2 H Bentley · D J Whyte 2 19.0 3-3/4
9 7 DOUBLE BINGO Closed strongly M F Poon · P F Yiu 9 7.7 5-3/4
10 11 DRAGON SUNRISE Closed strongly B/XB Z Purton · K W Lui 5 4.4 6
11 4 NOBLE FANS Led early B/TT R Kingscote · J Size 10 49.0 6-1/4
12 9 WINDICATOR FAMILY V K C Leung · W K Mo 8 9.7 6-3/4
0 ALL EYES ON ME · C W Chang
0 LUCKY GENERATIONS B · C Fownes

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PODIUM2. SETANTA+0.1L3. WAH MAY WAI WAI+0.5L4. TELECOM POWER+0.5L5. ZETTA FORCE+1.25L6. MANYTHANKS FOREVER+2.25L7. SMILING EMPEROR+3L8. PRINCE ALEX+3.75L9. DOUBLE BINGO+5.75L10. DRAGON SUNRISE+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick DRAGON SUNRISE (17.0%) finished 10th — the winner PODIUM was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 DRAGON SUNRISE 17.0% 5.89 10
2 7 DOUBLE BINGO 14.6% 6.84 9
3 5 TELECOM POWER 13.6% 7.34 4
4 12 WAH MAY WAI WAI 11.4% 8.77 3
5 9 WINDICATOR FAMILY 7.7% 12.95 12
6 3 SETANTA 7.5% 13.34 2
7 1 PODIUM 6.1% 16.36 1
8 6 ZETTA FORCE 5.9% 17.04 5
9 8 MANYTHANKS FOREVER 5.5% 18.16 6
10 10 SMILING EMPEROR 5.4% 18.49 7
11 4 NOBLE FANS 2.8% 35.22 11
12 2 PRINCE ALEX 2.4% 40.88 8
DRAGON SUNRISEDOUBLE BINGOTELECOM POWERWAH MAY WAI WAIWINDICATOR FAMILYSETANTAPODIUM — wonZETTA FORCEMANYTHANKS FOREVERSMILING EMPERORNOBLE FANSPRINCE ALEX

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 89.5

PLACE

1 28.5

3 47

12 40

QUINELLA

1,3 995.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 268.5

1,12 206.5

3,12 352

FORECAST

1,3 2,173

TIERCE

1,3,12 30,201

TRIO

1,3,12 4,010

FIRST 4

1,3,5,12 3,816

QUARTET

1,3,12,5 154,107