Happy Valley · 2026-05-13 · 11:10
CHANTILLY HANDICAP
Race 2
Race 2 ("CHANTILLY HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-13 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. NEBRASKAN, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won, with FORERUNNER second and WORLD HERO third. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | NEBRASKAN B/TT 1:09.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 5 | 2.9 | — |
| 2 | 8 | FORERUNNER CP/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 2 | 5.4 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | WORLD HERO H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 12 | 9.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | FORZA LEADER XB-/TT K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 61.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | BEAUTY GLORY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 9.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | MARVEL AND GOLD E/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 6 | 30.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | KING OBERON B E Brown · D J Whyte | E Brown | D J Whyte | 10 | 27.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | HEALTHY HEALTHY V-/B2/TT H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 8 | 17.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | AWESOME TREASURE CP2/TT2 P N Wong · J Richards | P N Wong | J Richards | 1 | 42.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | KING CANNON CP/XB R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 11 | 126.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | BLASTED TALENT TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 5.6 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | CHARMING BABE B J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 4 | 8.1 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | VOYAGE BOSS B · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| WV | 6 | RELENTLESS PURSUIT B1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 11 | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHARMING BABE | 22.3% | 4.48 | 12 |
| 2 | 12 | NEBRASKAN | 18.8% | 5.32 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | FORERUNNER | 11.3% | 8.86 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | WORLD HERO | 11.2% | 8.95 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 8.5% | 11.73 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | BLASTED TALENT | 6.5% | 15.40 | 11 |
| 7 | 9 | MARVEL AND GOLD | 4.8% | 20.88 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | AWESOME TREASURE | 4.5% | 22.13 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | KING OBERON | 3.8% | 26.44 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | FORZA LEADER | 3.5% | 28.73 | 4 |
| 11 | 1 | BEAUTY GLORY | 2.9% | 34.57 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | KING CANNON | 1.9% | 52.41 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 29.5
PLACE
4 29
8 17.5
12 13.5
QUINELLA
8,12 74
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 74.5
4,12 47.5
8,12 30.5
FORECAST
12,8 135
TIERCE
12,8,4 659
TRIO
4,8,12 175
FIRST 4
4,8,10,12 1,799
QUARTET
12,8,4,10 20,316
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/8 147.5
1/12 517