Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2026-05-13 · 13:45

CHANTILLY HANDICAP

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 7 ("CHANTILLY HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-13 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LEADING AGILITY, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by C S Shum, won, with AMAZING VICTORY second and YOUNG ARROW third. The 2.7 favourite JUMBO BLESSING finished 7th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:09.83
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 LEADING AGILITY H-/CP1/TT 1:09.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · C S Shum 5 6.7
2 3 AMAZING VICTORY CP/TT J Orman · C W Chang 1 36.0 1-1/2
3 1 YOUNG ARROW CP E Brown · D J Whyte 12 21.0 1-3/4
4 12 WINNING NOW B K Teetan · F C Lor 2 3.8 2
5 8 TACTICAL COMMAND B A Atzeni · M Newnham 4 28.0 2-1/2
6 10 JOLLY COMPANION B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man 3 31.0 2-1/2
7 9 JUMBO BLESSING TT J Moreira · C Fownes 6 2.7 3-1/4
8 4 GOLDEN EMPIRE B-/CP1 L Ferraris · B Crawford 9 44.0 5
9 7 LUCKY MCQUEEN H/TT M F Poon · W K Mo 11 8.1 5
10 2 CORNERSTONE TT1 C L Chau · C H Yip 8 83.0 6
11 5 SMART FIGHTER A Badel · P F Yiu 10 40.0 8
12 6 VIGOR EYE CP Z Purton · D A Hayes 7 8.5 12-1/2
0 RAINBOW SEVEN B/TT · K W Lui
0 TYCOON RESOURCES TT · A S Cruz

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LEADING AGILITY2. AMAZING VICTORY+1.5L3. YOUNG ARROW+1.75L4. WINNING NOW+2L5. TACTICAL COMMAND+2.5L6. JOLLY COMPANION+2.5L7. JUMBO BLESSING+3.25L8. GOLDEN EMPIRE+5L9. LUCKY MCQUEEN+5L10. CORNERSTONE+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick WINNING NOW (30.6%) finished 4th — the winner LEADING AGILITY was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 WINNING NOW 30.6% 3.27 4
2 9 JUMBO BLESSING 18.0% 5.55 7
3 6 VIGOR EYE 13.3% 7.54 12
4 11 LEADING AGILITY 7.4% 13.48 1
5 8 TACTICAL COMMAND 5.4% 18.65 5
6 7 LUCKY MCQUEEN 5.4% 18.66 9
7 5 SMART FIGHTER 4.9% 20.46 11
8 10 JOLLY COMPANION 4.7% 21.25 6
9 4 GOLDEN EMPIRE 3.8% 26.27 8
10 1 YOUNG ARROW 3.6% 27.70 3
11 3 AMAZING VICTORY 1.9% 51.57 2
12 2 CORNERSTONE 1.0% 95.44 10
WINNING NOWJUMBO BLESSINGVIGOR EYELEADING AGILITY — wonTACTICAL COMMANDLUCKY MCQUEENSMART FIGHTERJOLLY COMPANIONGOLDEN EMPIREYOUNG ARROWAMAZING VICTORYCORNERSTONE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 67

PLACE

1 48

3 74.5

11 19.5

QUINELLA

3,11 1,149.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 590

1,11 169.5

3,11 300.5

FORECAST

11,3 1,774

TIERCE

11,3,1 25,394

TRIO

1,3,11 5,400

FIRST 4

1,3,11,12 2,758

QUARTET

11,3,1,12 71,368

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

6,7,10/1,3,11 233,019

6TH DOUBLE

7/3 522

7/11 862

TRIPLE TRIO

1,6,8/6,7,10/1,3,11 1,377,843

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,6,8/6,7,10/Any Combination 206