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Happy Valley · 2026-05-13 · 21:10

SAINT-CLOUD HANDICAP

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course C+3 12 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #9 INCANTO STAR — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:40.15
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 THE AZURE Closed strongly CP1 1:40.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor 8 11.0 —
2 6 TAKE ACTION Closed strongly B H Bowman · J Size 1 6.3 N
3 10 RUN RUN TIMING V R Kingscote · P F Yiu 11 5.1 1/2
4 8 PRECISION HOPE Closed strongly A Badel · D A Hayes 3 8.1 1/2
5 3 SHOOTING TO TOP Led early B/TT E Brown · W K Mo 10 8.5 1/2
6 12 VIVA FIRECRACKER TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 5 3.6 1-1/4
7 9 INCANTO STAR B C L Chau · D J Hall 2 9.7 1-3/4
8 2 STURDY RUBY Closed strongly B/TT- C Y Ho · K L Man 7 24.0 2-3/4
9 1 HARMONY GALAXY TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 9 16.0 3-1/2
10 5 SMILING ONE B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting 4 56.0 4-1/2
11 4 GAZELEY XB/B1 L Ferraris · K W Lui 12 71.0 5-1/4
12 11 TO INFINITY B L Hewitson · J Richards 6 46.0 9-1/4
— 0 GLORIOUS RYDER B/TT · D Eustace — — —
— 0 FORTUNE STAR B/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 ("SAINT-CLOUD HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-13 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. THE AZURE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won, with TAKE ACTION second and RUN RUN TIMING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite VIVA FIRECRACKER finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THE AZURE—2. TAKE ACTION+0.05L3. RUN RUN TIMING+0.5L4. PRECISION HOPE+0.5L5. SHOOTING TO TOP+0.5L6. VIVA FIRECRACKER+1.25L7. INCANTO STAR+1.75L8. STURDY RUBY+2.75L9. HARMONY GALAXY+3.5L10. SMILING ONE+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick TAKE ACTION (25.5%) finished 2nd — the winner THE AZURE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 TAKE ACTION 25.5% 3.92 2
2 7 THE AZURE 14.7% 6.80 1
3 12 VIVA FIRECRACKER 13.5% 7.40 6
4 9 INCANTO STAR 12.1% 8.27 7
5 10 RUN RUN TIMING 7.8% 12.86 3
6 8 PRECISION HOPE 5.8% 17.15 4
7 3 SHOOTING TO TOP 5.6% 17.96 5
8 1 HARMONY GALAXY 5.4% 18.58 9
9 2 STURDY RUBY 3.1% 31.77 8
10 11 TO INFINITY 2.8% 36.28 12
11 4 GAZELEY 2.0% 50.28 11
12 5 SMILING ONE 1.7% 58.44 10
TAKE ACTIONTHE AZURE — wonVIVA FIRECRACKERINCANTO STARRUN RUN TIMINGPRECISION HOPESHOOTING TO TOPHARMONY GALAXYSTURDY RUBYTO INFINITYGAZELEYSMILING ONE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 116

PLACE

6 22

7 32

10 18.5

QUINELLA

6,7 321.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 99.5

6,10 56.5

7,10 98

FORECAST

7,6 659

TIERCE

7,6,10 3,063

TRIO

6,7,10 452

FIRST 4

6,7,8,10 752

QUARTET

7,6,10,8 22,592

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

1/6 25.5

1/7 334.5