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Happy Valley · 2026-05-13 · 13:10

SAINT-CLOUD HANDICAP

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 6 ("SAINT-CLOUD HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-13 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. THE AZURE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won, with TAKE ACTION second and RUN RUN TIMING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite VIVA FIRECRACKER finished 6th.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #9 INCANTO STAR — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:40.15
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 THE AZURE Closed strongly CP1 1:40.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor 8 11.0
2 6 TAKE ACTION Closed strongly B H Bowman · J Size 1 6.3 N
3 10 RUN RUN TIMING V R Kingscote · P F Yiu 11 5.1 1/2
4 8 PRECISION HOPE Closed strongly A Badel · D A Hayes 3 8.1 1/2
5 3 SHOOTING TO TOP Led early B/TT E Brown · W K Mo 10 8.5 1/2
6 12 VIVA FIRECRACKER TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 5 3.6 1-1/4
7 9 INCANTO STAR B C L Chau · D J Hall 2 9.7 1-3/4
8 2 STURDY RUBY Closed strongly B/TT- C Y Ho · K L Man 7 24.0 2-3/4
9 1 HARMONY GALAXY TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 9 16.0 3-1/2
10 5 SMILING ONE B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting 4 56.0 4-1/2
11 4 GAZELEY XB/B1 L Ferraris · K W Lui 12 71.0 5-1/4
12 11 TO INFINITY B L Hewitson · J Richards 6 46.0 9-1/4
0 GLORIOUS RYDER B/TT · D Eustace
0 FORTUNE STAR B/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THE AZURE2. TAKE ACTION+0.05L3. RUN RUN TIMING+0.5L4. PRECISION HOPE+0.5L5. SHOOTING TO TOP+0.5L6. VIVA FIRECRACKER+1.25L7. INCANTO STAR+1.75L8. STURDY RUBY+2.75L9. HARMONY GALAXY+3.5L10. SMILING ONE+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick TAKE ACTION (25.5%) finished 2nd — the winner THE AZURE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 TAKE ACTION 25.5% 3.92 2
2 7 THE AZURE 14.7% 6.80 1
3 12 VIVA FIRECRACKER 13.5% 7.40 6
4 9 INCANTO STAR 12.1% 8.27 7
5 10 RUN RUN TIMING 7.8% 12.86 3
6 8 PRECISION HOPE 5.8% 17.15 4
7 3 SHOOTING TO TOP 5.6% 17.96 5
8 1 HARMONY GALAXY 5.4% 18.58 9
9 2 STURDY RUBY 3.1% 31.77 8
10 11 TO INFINITY 2.8% 36.28 12
11 4 GAZELEY 2.0% 50.28 11
12 5 SMILING ONE 1.7% 58.44 10
TAKE ACTIONTHE AZURE — wonVIVA FIRECRACKERINCANTO STARRUN RUN TIMINGPRECISION HOPESHOOTING TO TOPHARMONY GALAXYSTURDY RUBYTO INFINITYGAZELEYSMILING ONE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 116

PLACE

6 22

7 32

10 18.5

QUINELLA

6,7 321.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 99.5

6,10 56.5

7,10 98

FORECAST

7,6 659

TIERCE

7,6,10 3,063

TRIO

6,7,10 452

FIRST 4

6,7,8,10 752

QUARTET

7,6,10,8 22,592

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

1/6 25.5

1/7 334.5