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Happy Valley · 2026-05-13 · 12:10

SAINT-CLOUD HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 4 ("SAINT-CLOUD HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-13 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GENERAL REDWOOD, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by C S Shum, won, with DASHING MAURISON second and CAN'T GO WONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite DASHING MAURISON finished 2nd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:39.91
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 GENERAL REDWOOD Closed strongly CP/TT 1:39.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · C S Shum 12 19.0
2 10 DASHING MAURISON Closed strongly B H Bentley · D A Hayes 2 3.6 NOSE
3 11 CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 5 21.0 N
4 8 SAVVY WARRIOR XB/TT C Y Ho · D Eustace 6 17.0 1-1/4
5 5 NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly B2/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 4 8.0 2
6 9 WHOWROTETHATSONG Closed strongly TT A Badel · C H Yip 8 55.0 2-1/2
7 2 ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT H Bowman · W K Mo 1 5.5 4-1/4
8 7 ACE POWER Closed strongly B A Atzeni · M Newnham 10 29.0 5-1/4
9 3 MEGA MASTERMIND Led early V/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 3 6.2 7-1/2
10 12 LAKESHORE HERO P N Wong · D J Hall 7 14.0 7-3/4
11 6 CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · K L Man 11 47.0 10-1/4
12 1 MIGHTY STEED CP Z Purton · K W Lui 9 5.6 16-1/2
0 SURE JOYFUL TT · P F Yiu
0 BEAUTY GEMINI TT · A S Cruz

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GENERAL REDWOOD2. DASHING MAURISON+0.05L3. CAN'T GO WONG+0.05L4. SAVVY WARRIOR+1.25L5. NOBLE PURSUIT+2L6. WHOWROTETHATSONG+2.5L7. ROMANTIC LAOS+4.25L8. ACE POWER+5.25L9. MEGA MASTERMIND+7.5L10. LAKESHORE HERO+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick DASHING MAURISON (20.1%) finished 2nd — the winner GENERAL REDWOOD was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 DASHING MAURISON 20.1% 4.96 2
2 3 MEGA MASTERMIND 14.4% 6.93 9
3 2 ROMANTIC LAOS 11.1% 9.00 7
4 5 NOBLE PURSUIT 11.0% 9.08 5
5 1 MIGHTY STEED 10.5% 9.49 12
6 12 LAKESHORE HERO 9.2% 10.93 10
7 7 ACE POWER 6.1% 16.35 8
8 8 SAVVY WARRIOR 5.2% 19.16 4
9 6 CELTIC TIMES 3.4% 28.99 11
10 4 GENERAL REDWOOD 3.3% 30.49 1
11 11 CAN'T GO WONG 3.0% 32.96 3
12 9 WHOWROTETHATSONG 2.5% 39.94 6
DASHING MAURISONMEGA MASTERMINDROMANTIC LAOSNOBLE PURSUITMIGHTY STEEDLAKESHORE HEROACE POWERSAVVY WARRIORCELTIC TIMESGENERAL REDWOOD — wonCAN'T GO WONGWHOWROTETHATSONG

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 195

PLACE

4 57

10 17.5

11 50.5

QUINELLA

4,10 368.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,10 131

4,11 467.5

10,11 127.5

FORECAST

4,10 1,080

TIERCE

4,10,11 17,647

TRIO

4,10,11 3,136

FIRST 4

4,8,10,11 9,018

QUARTET

4,10,11,8 238,202

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

7/4 598.5

7/10 19.5