Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2026-05-13 · 20:10

SAINT-CLOUD HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course C+3 12 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:39.91
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 GENERAL REDWOOD Closed strongly CP/TT 1:39.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · C S Shum 12 19.0 —
2 10 DASHING MAURISON Closed strongly B H Bentley · D A Hayes 2 3.6 NOSE
3 11 CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 5 21.0 N
4 8 SAVVY WARRIOR XB/TT C Y Ho · D Eustace 6 17.0 1-1/4
5 5 NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly B2/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 4 8.0 2
6 9 WHOWROTETHATSONG Closed strongly TT A Badel · C H Yip 8 55.0 2-1/2
7 2 ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT H Bowman · W K Mo 1 5.5 4-1/4
8 7 ACE POWER Closed strongly B A Atzeni · M Newnham 10 29.0 5-1/4
9 3 MEGA MASTERMIND Led early V/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 3 6.2 7-1/2
10 12 LAKESHORE HERO P N Wong · D J Hall 7 14.0 7-3/4
11 6 CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · K L Man 11 47.0 10-1/4
12 1 MIGHTY STEED CP Z Purton · K W Lui 9 5.6 16-1/2
— 0 SURE JOYFUL TT · P F Yiu — — —
— 0 BEAUTY GEMINI TT · A S Cruz — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 ("SAINT-CLOUD HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-13 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GENERAL REDWOOD, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by C S Shum, won, with DASHING MAURISON second and CAN'T GO WONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite DASHING MAURISON finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GENERAL REDWOOD—2. DASHING MAURISON+0.05L3. CAN'T GO WONG+0.05L4. SAVVY WARRIOR+1.25L5. NOBLE PURSUIT+2L6. WHOWROTETHATSONG+2.5L7. ROMANTIC LAOS+4.25L8. ACE POWER+5.25L9. MEGA MASTERMIND+7.5L10. LAKESHORE HERO+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick DASHING MAURISON (20.1%) finished 2nd — the winner GENERAL REDWOOD was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 DASHING MAURISON 20.1% 4.96 2
2 3 MEGA MASTERMIND 14.4% 6.93 9
3 2 ROMANTIC LAOS 11.1% 9.00 7
4 5 NOBLE PURSUIT 11.0% 9.08 5
5 1 MIGHTY STEED 10.5% 9.49 12
6 12 LAKESHORE HERO 9.2% 10.93 10
7 7 ACE POWER 6.1% 16.35 8
8 8 SAVVY WARRIOR 5.2% 19.16 4
9 6 CELTIC TIMES 3.4% 28.99 11
10 4 GENERAL REDWOOD 3.3% 30.49 1
11 11 CAN'T GO WONG 3.0% 32.96 3
12 9 WHOWROTETHATSONG 2.5% 39.94 6
DASHING MAURISONMEGA MASTERMINDROMANTIC LAOSNOBLE PURSUITMIGHTY STEEDLAKESHORE HEROACE POWERSAVVY WARRIORCELTIC TIMESGENERAL REDWOOD — wonCAN'T GO WONGWHOWROTETHATSONG

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 195

PLACE

4 57

10 17.5

11 50.5

QUINELLA

4,10 368.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,10 131

4,11 467.5

10,11 127.5

FORECAST

4,10 1,080

TIERCE

4,10,11 17,647

TRIO

4,10,11 3,136

FIRST 4

4,8,10,11 9,018

QUARTET

4,10,11,8 238,202

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

7/4 598.5

7/10 19.5