Happy Valley · 2026-05-13 · 12:40
THE FRANCE GALOP CUP (HANDICAP)
Race 5
Race 5 ("THE FRANCE GALOP CUP (HANDICAP)") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-13 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LIVEANDLETLIVE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by A S Cruz, won, with THE AUSPICIOUS second and ACE WAR third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LIVEANDLETLIVE Wire to wire TT 1:48.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.6 | — |
| 2 | 6 | THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly H A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 2 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | ACE WAR Closed strongly XB Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 8 | 2.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | NOISY BOY Closed strongly P-/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 7 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | LE ZONDA TT E Brown · P C Ng | E Brown | P C Ng | 9 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | FLYING LUCK Closed strongly V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | SO YOU WILL B1/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | KEEFY B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 16.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | DRAGON ON SNOW XB-/CP1 R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 6 | 79.0 | 11 |
| WV | 4 | CHINA WIN L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LIVEANDLETLIVE | 32.8% | 3.05 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | ACE WAR | 32.0% | 3.12 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | FLYING LUCK | 7.7% | 12.98 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | SO YOU WILL | 7.7% | 13.02 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 7.6% | 13.17 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | KEEFY | 4.3% | 23.51 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | NOISY BOY | 3.9% | 25.83 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | LE ZONDA | 3.2% | 31.10 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | DRAGON ON SNOW | 0.9% | 110.67 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 26.5
PLACE
1 11
6 18
8 12.5
QUINELLA
1,6 75.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 29.5
1,8 18.5
6,8 25.5
FORECAST
1,6 116
TIERCE
1,6,8 311
TRIO
1,6,8 43
FIRST 4
1,6,7,8 147
QUARTET
1,6,8,7 2,044
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
7/4/1 1,396
7/4/6 490
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,10,11/1,6,8 22,232
4TH DOUBLE
4/1 657
4/6 234