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Happy Valley · 2026-06-03 · 18:40

MOUNT BUTLER HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course C 12 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.71 #11 CASA LEGEND — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:38.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT 1:38.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 1 2.7 —
2 12 THE WAY WE WIN Led early B/TT H T Mo · J Richards 6 38.0 N
3 6 TELECOM POWER Closed strongly V H Bentley · Y S Tsui 10 8.3 1-1/2
4 2 SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 9 7.4 2-1/4
5 9 WAH MAY WAI WAI K Teetan · A S Cruz 2 3.5 2-1/4
6 8 MANYTHANKS FOREVER V/TT A Atzeni · W Y So 12 39.0 4-1/4
7 11 CASA LEGEND Closed strongly B-/P2/TT M F Poon · C W Chang 8 39.0 4-1/2
8 4 PRINCE ALEX CP/XB/TT2 B Avdulla · D J Whyte 3 23.0 4-3/4
9 7 ZETTA FORCE Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C H Yip 11 23.0 5-1/2
10 10 SMART TRIO V-/XB/B2/TT2 L Hewitson · C S Shum 7 12.0 6-1/4
11 5 HAPPY BUDDIES CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 5 22.0 7
12 1 MASTER OF HUMOR CP C Y Ho · B Crawford 4 56.0 10-1/2
— 0 GOLD TACK V · D J Hall — — —
— 0 HARRY'S HERO H · P F Yiu — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 ("MOUNT BUTLER HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-03 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FAMILY FORTUNE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with THE WAY WE WIN second and TELECOM POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FAMILY FORTUNE—2. THE WAY WE WIN+0.05L3. TELECOM POWER+1.5L4. SETANTA+2.25L5. WAH MAY WAI WAI+2.25L6. MANYTHANKS FOREVER+4.25L7. CASA LEGEND+4.5L8. PRINCE ALEX+4.75L9. ZETTA FORCE+5.5L10. SMART TRIO+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick WAH MAY WAI WAI (39.1%) finished 5th — the winner FAMILY FORTUNE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 WAH MAY WAI WAI 39.1% 2.56 5
2 3 FAMILY FORTUNE 23.7% 4.22 1
3 6 TELECOM POWER 5.5% 18.02 3
4 4 PRINCE ALEX 5.5% 18.30 8
5 8 MANYTHANKS FOREVER 4.4% 22.47 6
6 10 SMART TRIO 4.3% 23.21 10
7 2 SETANTA 4.3% 23.50 4
8 7 ZETTA FORCE 3.7% 26.87 9
9 1 MASTER OF HUMOR 2.7% 36.81 12
10 5 HAPPY BUDDIES 2.6% 39.07 11
11 11 CASA LEGEND 2.2% 45.76 7
12 12 THE WAY WE WIN 2.0% 50.25 2
WAH MAY WAI WAIFAMILY FORTUNE — wonTELECOM POWERPRINCE ALEXMANYTHANKS FOREVERSMART TRIOSETANTAZETTA FORCEMASTER OF HUMORHAPPY BUDDIESCASA LEGENDTHE WAY WE WIN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 27

PLACE

3 13

6 27

12 80.5

QUINELLA

3,12 667

QUINELLA PLACE

3,6 48

3,12 201.5

6,12 511.5

FORECAST

3,12 1,023

TIERCE

3,12,6 9,161

TRIO

3,6,12 1,657

FIRST 4

2,3,6,12 1,903

QUARTET

3,12,6,2 38,231