Happy Valley · 2026-06-03 · 10:40
MOUNT BUTLER HANDICAP
Race 1
Race 1 ("MOUNT BUTLER HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-03 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FAMILY FORTUNE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with THE WAY WE WIN second and TELECOM POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT 1:38.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 2.7 | — |
| 2 | 12 | THE WAY WE WIN Led early B/TT H T Mo · J Richards | H T Mo | J Richards | 6 | 38.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | TELECOM POWER Closed strongly V H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 10 | 8.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 7.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | WAH MAY WAI WAI K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER V/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 12 | 39.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | CASA LEGEND Closed strongly B-/P2/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 8 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | PRINCE ALEX CP/XB/TT2 B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 3 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | ZETTA FORCE Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 11 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | SMART TRIO V-/XB/B2/TT2 L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 7 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | HAPPY BUDDIES CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 5 | 22.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 1 | MASTER OF HUMOR CP C Y Ho · B Crawford | C Y Ho | B Crawford | 4 | 56.0 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 0 | GOLD TACK V · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | HARRY'S HERO H · P F Yiu | — | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 39.1% | 2.56 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 23.7% | 4.22 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | TELECOM POWER | 5.5% | 18.02 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | PRINCE ALEX | 5.5% | 18.30 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 4.4% | 22.47 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | SMART TRIO | 4.3% | 23.21 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | SETANTA | 4.3% | 23.50 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | ZETTA FORCE | 3.7% | 26.87 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | MASTER OF HUMOR | 2.7% | 36.81 | 12 |
| 10 | 5 | HAPPY BUDDIES | 2.6% | 39.07 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | CASA LEGEND | 2.2% | 45.76 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | THE WAY WE WIN | 2.0% | 50.25 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 27
PLACE
3 13
6 27
12 80.5
QUINELLA
3,12 667
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 48
3,12 201.5
6,12 511.5
FORECAST
3,12 1,023
TIERCE
3,12,6 9,161
TRIO
3,6,12 1,657
FIRST 4
2,3,6,12 1,903
QUARTET
3,12,6,2 38,231