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Happy Valley · 2026-06-03 · 11:10

MOUNT NICHOLSON HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 2 ("MOUNT NICHOLSON HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-03 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MAJESTIC DELIGHT, ridden by J Orman and trained by D Eustace, won, with AUTUMN VIBES second and SONIC BOOM third. The 4.2 favourite ALWAYS MY FOLKS finished 5th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:09.99
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 MAJESTIC DELIGHT XB/TT 1:09.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · D Eustace 4 10.0
2 3 AUTUMN VIBES K Teetan · B Crawford 7 5.3 NOSE
3 12 SONIC BOOM TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 8 13.0 1/2
4 5 RUNJEET XB-/TT- H Bentley · D J Whyte 1 5.5 1/2
5 2 ALWAYS MY FOLKS B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum 3 4.2 1/2
6 9 CHILL MASTER B/TT C L Chau · K L Man 9 7.2 1-1/2
7 1 LAKESHORE HERO A Atzeni · D J Hall 10 20.0 1-3/4
8 6 CALL TO COMMAND CP/TT K C Leung · C W Chang 5 11.0 1-3/4
9 10 EXCEED THE WISH H L Hewitson · M Newnham 6 12.0 1-3/4
10 11 ISLAND BREEZES B/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng 11 49.0 2
11 8 TAI VICTORY B-/CP1/H1/TT2 A Badel · J Richards 2 48.0 5
12 7 THOUSAND CUPS TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 12 24.0 5-1/4
0 DOUBLE BINGO · P F Yiu
0 SUPERB GUY CP-/XB/B1 · K W Lui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MAJESTIC DELIGHT2. AUTUMN VIBES+0.05L3. SONIC BOOM+0.5L4. RUNJEET+0.5L5. ALWAYS MY FOLKS+0.5L6. CHILL MASTER+1.5L7. LAKESHORE HERO+1.75L8. CALL TO COMMAND+1.75L9. EXCEED THE WISH+1.75L10. ISLAND BREEZES+2L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ALWAYS MY FOLKS (28.1%) finished 5th — the winner MAJESTIC DELIGHT was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 ALWAYS MY FOLKS 28.1% 3.56 5
2 4 MAJESTIC DELIGHT 12.1% 8.28 1
3 6 CALL TO COMMAND 11.4% 8.79 8
4 10 EXCEED THE WISH 9.4% 10.68 9
5 9 CHILL MASTER 7.7% 12.95 6
6 5 RUNJEET 6.9% 14.51 4
7 1 LAKESHORE HERO 6.7% 14.98 7
8 3 AUTUMN VIBES 5.9% 17.05 2
9 7 THOUSAND CUPS 4.0% 24.93 12
10 12 SONIC BOOM 2.9% 34.28 3
11 11 ISLAND BREEZES 2.8% 36.19 10
12 8 TAI VICTORY 2.2% 44.92 11
ALWAYS MY FOLKSMAJESTIC DELIGHT — wonCALL TO COMMANDEXCEED THE WISHCHILL MASTERRUNJEETLAKESHORE HEROAUTUMN VIBESTHOUSAND CUPSSONIC BOOMISLAND BREEZESTAI VICTORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 103

PLACE

3 22

4 31.5

12 39

QUINELLA

3,4 241

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 86

3,12 111.5

4,12 174.5

FORECAST

4,3 569

TIERCE

4,3,12 6,439

TRIO

3,4,12 1,074

FIRST 4

3,4,5,12 1,398

QUARTET

4,3,12,5 40,530

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

3/3 44.5

3/4 412.5