Happy Valley · 2026-06-03 · 12:10
MIDDLE GAP HANDICAP
Race 4
Race 4 ("MIDDLE GAP HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-03 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TAKE ACTION, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won, with EXCEED THE LIMIT second and CAN'T GO WONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite RUN RUN TIMING finished 12th.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TAKE ACTION Closed strongly B 1:40.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 10.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | EXCEED THE LIMIT Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 5 | 18.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 12.0 | N |
| 4 | 3 | FLYING FORTUNE TT E Brown · W K Mo | E Brown | W K Mo | 11 | 28.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | SAVVY WARRIOR XB/TT C Y Ho · D Eustace | C Y Ho | D Eustace | 3 | 6.7 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | DASHING MAURISON B H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 6 | 5.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | STAR MAC Closed strongly B2/TT J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 8 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | SMILING ONE B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 7 | 69.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | CONRAD THE GREAT Closed strongly SR/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 12 | 63.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | GAZELEY B/XB L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 9 | 85.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 11 | KING GLORIOSO SR/TT A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 2 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | RUN RUN TIMING Led early V Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 1 | 2.4 | 16-1/2 |
| — | 0 | NOBLE PURSUIT B/TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SUPERB BOY TT · Y S Tsui | — | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | RUN RUN TIMING | 38.0% | 2.63 | 12 |
| 2 | 6 | DASHING MAURISON | 15.2% | 6.57 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | SAVVY WARRIOR | 13.2% | 7.59 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | CAN'T GO WONG | 5.9% | 16.87 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | STAR MAC | 5.2% | 19.23 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | TAKE ACTION | 5.1% | 19.65 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | KING GLORIOSO | 4.1% | 24.37 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | EXCEED THE LIMIT | 3.9% | 25.49 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | CONRAD THE GREAT | 3.7% | 27.35 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | FLYING FORTUNE | 2.6% | 37.75 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | GAZELEY | 1.9% | 53.97 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | SMILING ONE | 1.2% | 83.03 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 109
PLACE
1 43
5 25
9 34
QUINELLA
1,5 1,142
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 295.5
1,9 229.5
5,9 125.5
FORECAST
5,1 2,326
TIERCE
5,1,9 17,685
TRIO
1,5,9 3,239
FIRST 4
1,3,5,9 10,666
QUARTET
5,1,9,3 215,491
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
7/1 305.5
7/5 610