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Happy Valley · 2026-06-03 · 20:10

MIDDLE GAP HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course C 12 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.71 #5 TAKE ACTION — Jockey Change

Result

Official · 1:40.10
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 TAKE ACTION Closed strongly B 1:40.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size 10 10.0 —
2 1 EXCEED THE LIMIT Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 5 18.0 N
3 9 CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 4 12.0 N
4 3 FLYING FORTUNE TT E Brown · W K Mo 11 28.0 1/2
5 8 SAVVY WARRIOR XB/TT C Y Ho · D Eustace 3 6.7 1
6 6 DASHING MAURISON B H Bentley · D A Hayes 6 5.8 2
7 2 STAR MAC Closed strongly B2/TT J Orman · D J Hall 8 12.0 2-1/2
8 7 SMILING ONE B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting 7 69.0 2-1/2
9 12 CONRAD THE GREAT Closed strongly SR/TT A Badel · D J Whyte 12 63.0 2-3/4
10 4 GAZELEY B/XB L Ferraris · K W Lui 9 85.0 3
11 11 KING GLORIOSO SR/TT A Atzeni · K L Man 2 10.0 5-1/2
12 10 RUN RUN TIMING Led early V Z Purton · P F Yiu 1 2.4 16-1/2
— 0 NOBLE PURSUIT B/TT · C Fownes — — —
— 0 SUPERB BOY TT · Y S Tsui — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 ("MIDDLE GAP HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-03 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TAKE ACTION, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won, with EXCEED THE LIMIT second and CAN'T GO WONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite RUN RUN TIMING finished 12th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TAKE ACTION—2. EXCEED THE LIMIT+0.05L3. CAN'T GO WONG+0.05L4. FLYING FORTUNE+0.5L5. SAVVY WARRIOR+1L6. DASHING MAURISON+2L7. STAR MAC+2.5L8. SMILING ONE+2.5L9. CONRAD THE GREAT+2.75L10. GAZELEY+3L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick RUN RUN TIMING (38.0%) finished 12th — the winner TAKE ACTION was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 RUN RUN TIMING 38.0% 2.63 12
2 6 DASHING MAURISON 15.2% 6.57 6
3 8 SAVVY WARRIOR 13.2% 7.59 5
4 9 CAN'T GO WONG 5.9% 16.87 3
5 2 STAR MAC 5.2% 19.23 7
6 5 TAKE ACTION 5.1% 19.65 1
7 11 KING GLORIOSO 4.1% 24.37 11
8 1 EXCEED THE LIMIT 3.9% 25.49 2
9 12 CONRAD THE GREAT 3.7% 27.35 9
10 3 FLYING FORTUNE 2.6% 37.75 4
11 4 GAZELEY 1.9% 53.97 10
12 7 SMILING ONE 1.2% 83.03 8
RUN RUN TIMINGDASHING MAURISONSAVVY WARRIORCAN'T GO WONGSTAR MACTAKE ACTION — wonKING GLORIOSOEXCEED THE LIMITCONRAD THE GREATFLYING FORTUNEGAZELEYSMILING ONE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 109

PLACE

1 43

5 25

9 34

QUINELLA

1,5 1,142

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 295.5

1,9 229.5

5,9 125.5

FORECAST

5,1 2,326

TIERCE

5,1,9 17,685

TRIO

1,5,9 3,239

FIRST 4

1,3,5,9 10,666

QUARTET

5,1,9,3 215,491

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

7/1 305.5

7/5 610