Happy Valley · 2026-06-03 · 11:40
WONG NAI CHUNG GAP HANDICAP
Race 3
Race 3 ("WONG NAI CHUNG GAP HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-03 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FORERUNNER, ridden by A Badel and trained by W K Mo, won, with SAME TO YOU second and LEADING AGILITY third. The 4.3 favourite YOUNG ARROW finished 5th.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FORERUNNER CP/TT 1:09.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 8 | 6.4 | — |
| 2 | 12 | SAME TO YOU H/P/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 5 | 6.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | LEADING AGILITY CP/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | FORZA LEADER TT K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 10 | 49.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | YOUNG ARROW CP E Brown · D J Whyte | E Brown | D J Whyte | 6 | 4.3 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | GOLDEN EMPIRE CP C L Chau · B Crawford | C L Chau | B Crawford | 11 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | MARVEL AND GOLD E/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 4 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | BEAUTY GLORY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 7.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | FREE PONY P K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 1 | 7.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | CAPTAIN LINK B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 8.8 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | AWESOME TREASURE CP-/TT- M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 12 | 111.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | WINALOT TT L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 7 | 40.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | VICTOR THE RAPID B/TT- · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | JOLLY COMPANION V/TT · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CAPTAIN LINK | 19.3% | 5.19 | 10 |
| 2 | 4 | LEADING AGILITY | 16.0% | 6.24 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | FREE PONY | 15.1% | 6.63 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | YOUNG ARROW | 11.1% | 9.04 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | FORERUNNER | 9.7% | 10.35 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | SAME TO YOU | 8.3% | 12.02 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | BEAUTY GLORY | 5.9% | 16.98 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | FORZA LEADER | 3.4% | 29.12 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | MARVEL AND GOLD | 3.3% | 29.98 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 3.1% | 31.85 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | WINALOT | 3.1% | 32.63 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | AWESOME TREASURE | 1.7% | 57.85 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 64
PLACE
4 21.5
7 22
12 22
QUINELLA
7,12 173
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 63
4,12 62
7,12 61.5
FORECAST
7,12 382
TIERCE
7,12,4 1,956
TRIO
4,7,12 388
FIRST 4
4,7,10,12 2,340
QUARTET
7,12,4,10 46,273
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,12/4,7,12 72,328
2ND DOUBLE
4/7 1,003
4/12 161