Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2026-06-03 · 14:50

VIOLET HILL HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course C 12 runners

Race 9 ("VIOLET HILL HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-03 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. WITHOUT COMPARE, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C S Shum, won, with STORMI second and FIVEFORTWO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:39.18
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 WITHOUT COMPARE Closed strongly TT 1:39.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C S Shum 11 3.9
2 10 STORMI Led early CP/TT K Teetan · W K Mo 1 13.0 NOSE
3 3 FIVEFORTWO Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · K W Lui 7 4.5 1-1/4
4 12 ANOTHER ZONDA B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui 4 21.0 1-1/2
5 1 SMART AVENUE Closed strongly V/TT Z Purton · C H Yip 5 7.4 1-3/4
6 8 CASA ROCHESTER Closed strongly Y L Chung · M Newnham 10 18.0 2-1/2
7 9 CALIFORNIA MOXIE Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz 2 12.0 3
8 6 ALL ROUND WINNER B H Bentley · D A Hayes 8 6.9 3-1/4
9 2 MISTER DAPPER B/XB/TT B Avdulla · D Eustace 3 9.7 5-1/2
9 7 CLASS V2/TT2 E C W Wong · P F Yiu 6 101.0 5-1/2
11 5 KEEFY B M F Poon · F C Lor 9 27.0 5-3/4
12 11 YEE CHEONG GLORY CP/TT A Badel · J Richards 12 19.0 7-3/4
0 LUCKY MY WAY · D Eustace
0 SEWARD H- · P C Ng

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WITHOUT COMPARE2. STORMI+0.05L3. FIVEFORTWO+1.25L4. ANOTHER ZONDA+1.5L5. SMART AVENUE+1.75L6. CASA ROCHESTER+2.5L7. CALIFORNIA MOXIE+3L8. ALL ROUND WINNER+3.25L9. MISTER DAPPER+5.5L9. CLASS+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SMART AVENUE (26.4%) finished 5th — the winner WITHOUT COMPARE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 SMART AVENUE 26.4% 3.78 5
2 4 WITHOUT COMPARE 17.9% 5.58 1
3 3 FIVEFORTWO 13.0% 7.71 3
4 9 CALIFORNIA MOXIE 10.4% 9.60 7
5 12 ANOTHER ZONDA 6.1% 16.27 4
6 10 STORMI 5.5% 18.16 2
7 2 MISTER DAPPER 4.7% 21.15 9
8 6 ALL ROUND WINNER 4.6% 21.74 8
9 8 CASA ROCHESTER 4.0% 25.26 6
10 5 KEEFY 3.7% 27.05 11
11 11 YEE CHEONG GLORY 2.7% 36.93 12
12 7 CLASS 0.9% 109.41 9
SMART AVENUEWITHOUT COMPARE — wonFIVEFORTWOCALIFORNIA MOXIEANOTHER ZONDASTORMIMISTER DAPPERALL ROUND WINNERCASA ROCHESTERKEEFYYEE CHEONG GLORYCLASS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 39

PLACE

3 17.5

4 16

10 42

QUINELLA

4,10 287

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 46

3,10 144.5

4,10 102

FORECAST

4,10 498

TIERCE

4,10,3 3,868

TRIO

3,4,10 589

FIRST 4

3,4,10,12 2,065

QUARTET

4,10,3,12 35,756

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

11/6/4 3,763

11/6/10 1,339

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,6,11/3,4,10 177,641

8TH DOUBLE

6/4 396

6/10 152

SIX UP

1,5/7,11/1,4/7,11/6,11/4,10 7,395

5/7/1/11/6/4 531,852

1 [Z Purton], 9 [A Badel]

3 [C S Shum], 8 [W K Mo]