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Happy Valley · 2026-06-03 · 13:10

WONG NAI CHUNG GAP HANDICAP

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 6 ("WONG NAI CHUNG GAP HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-03 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. THE HEIR, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with MEOWTH second and VIGOR EYE third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.

Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Penetrometer 2.71 #12 HEROIC MASTER — Weight Change #8 THE PERFECT MATCH — Jockey Change

Result

Official · 1:09.37
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 THE HEIR 1:09.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 2 2.8
2 4 MEOWTH B/TT L Ferraris · W K Mo 5 5.8 1
3 5 VIGOR EYE CP Z Purton · D A Hayes 1 17.0 1-1/4
4 8 THE PERFECT MATCH TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 11 27.0 1-1/2
5 9 PHOENIX LIGHT H2 M F Poon · C H Yip 12 60.0 1-1/2
6 7 NEBRASKAN B/TT A Atzeni · J Size 4 4.5 2
7 2 BRIGHT DAY V/TT K C Leung · K L Man 7 6.5 2
8 12 HEROIC MASTER B/TT A Badel · Y S Tsui 6 20.0 2
9 11 WINNING NOW B Y L Chung · F C Lor 3 10.0 4
10 3 HEALTHY HEALTHY B/TT- H Bentley · P C Ng 8 34.0 5-3/4
11 6 SPIRITED STEED C L Chau · K W Lui 10 49.0 9
12 10 GLORIOUS RYDER B/TT P N Wong · D Eustace 9 78.0 9
0 BITS SUPERSTAR · D J Hall
0 HAPPY UNITED P/TT · J Richards

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THE HEIR2. MEOWTH+1L3. VIGOR EYE+1.25L4. THE PERFECT MATCH+1.5L5. PHOENIX LIGHT+1.5L6. NEBRASKAN+2L7. BRIGHT DAY+2L8. HEROIC MASTER+2L9. WINNING NOW+4L10. HEALTHY HEALTHY+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick NEBRASKAN (34.5%) finished 6th — the winner THE HEIR was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 NEBRASKAN 34.5% 2.90 6
2 1 THE HEIR 17.8% 5.62 1
3 5 VIGOR EYE 11.2% 8.97 3
4 11 WINNING NOW 7.8% 12.77 9
5 4 MEOWTH 5.7% 17.45 2
6 8 THE PERFECT MATCH 4.9% 20.57 4
7 2 BRIGHT DAY 4.1% 24.30 7
8 3 HEALTHY HEALTHY 3.4% 29.28 10
9 12 HEROIC MASTER 3.4% 29.30 8
10 6 SPIRITED STEED 3.3% 30.28 11
11 9 PHOENIX LIGHT 2.1% 46.84 5
12 10 GLORIOUS RYDER 1.7% 57.67 12
NEBRASKANTHE HEIR — wonVIGOR EYEWINNING NOWMEOWTHTHE PERFECT MATCHBRIGHT DAYHEALTHY HEALTHYHEROIC MASTERSPIRITED STEEDPHOENIX LIGHTGLORIOUS RYDER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 28.5

PLACE

1 12.5

4 19

5 44.5

QUINELLA

1,4 93.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 38

1,5 101.5

4,5 164.5

FORECAST

1,4 195

TIERCE

1,4,5 1,590

TRIO

1,4,5 411

FIRST 4

1,4,5,8 2,064

QUARTET

1,4,5,8 18,413

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

7/1 93.5

7/4 26