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Happy Valley · 2026-06-10 · 11:10

KAI TAK HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course C+3 10 runners

Race 2 ("KAI TAK HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-10 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. LEGEND WINNER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by M Newnham, won, with PRECISION HOPE second and SURE JOYFUL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.

Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Penetrometer 2.71 #4 VERY GRATEFUL — Code 92 #9 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY — Code 92

Result

Official · 1:39.78
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 LEGEND WINNER Closed strongly B/TT 1:39.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · M Newnham 11 2.4
2 7 PRECISION HOPE Closed strongly A Badel · D A Hayes 1 3.7 1/2
3 6 SURE JOYFUL Led early TT M F Poon · P F Yiu 9 27.0 1-3/4
4 8 VIVA BOSS H/TT M Chadwick · K L Man 2 77.0 1-3/4
5 5 NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 7 7.2 2-3/4
6 2 CHEAHA TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 11.0 3-3/4
7 3 SUPERB KID Closed strongly CP C L Chau · Y S Tsui 8 19.0 5-1/2
8 10 GOOD LUCK WIN CP-/B2/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting 6 16.0 6
9 12 TO INFINITY H T Mo · J Richards 5 45.0 6-3/4
10 11 OUR LUCKY GLORY CP/TT H Bentley · W Y So 3 8.2 7-3/4
0 GRATIFIDE XB/TT · D Eustace
0 LESLIE B · C W Chang
4 VERY GRATEFUL V/TT K C Leung · W K Mo
WV 9 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY V2 P N Wong · C H Yip

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LEGEND WINNER2. PRECISION HOPE+0.5L3. SURE JOYFUL+1.75L4. VIVA BOSS+1.75L5. NOBLE PURSUIT+2.75L6. CHEAHA+3.75L7. SUPERB KID+5.5L8. GOOD LUCK WIN+6L9. TO INFINITY+6.75L10. OUR LUCKY GLORY+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick PRECISION HOPE (30.8%) finished 2nd — the winner LEGEND WINNER was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 PRECISION HOPE 30.8% 3.25 2
2 5 NOBLE PURSUIT 21.3% 4.69 5
3 1 LEGEND WINNER 18.1% 5.53 1
4 11 OUR LUCKY GLORY 8.6% 11.69 10
5 2 CHEAHA 6.7% 14.90 6
6 10 GOOD LUCK WIN 4.6% 21.67 8
7 3 SUPERB KID 3.6% 27.88 7
8 6 SURE JOYFUL 3.3% 29.94 3
9 12 TO INFINITY 1.8% 55.95 9
10 8 VIVA BOSS 1.2% 83.50 4
PRECISION HOPENOBLE PURSUITLEGEND WINNER — wonOUR LUCKY GLORYCHEAHAGOOD LUCK WINSUPERB KIDSURE JOYFULTO INFINITYVIVA BOSS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 24

PLACE

1 11.5

6 51

7 15.5

QUINELLA

1,7 47.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 90.5

1,7 22.5

6,7 118

FORECAST

1,7 78

TIERCE

1,7,6 912

TRIO

1,6,7 256

FIRST 4

1,6,7,8 2,434

QUARTET

1,7,6,8 21,951

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

2/1,4,9 121.5

2/7 28.5