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Happy Valley · 2026-06-10 · 13:10

STANLEY HANDICAP

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 6 ("STANLEY HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-10 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LIVE WIRE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Whyte, won, with GIANT LEAP second and ELEGANT LIFE third. The 2.4 favourite SUPERB KING finished 4th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:09.26
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 LIVE WIRE B/XB 1:09.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Whyte 6 6.3
2 4 GIANT LEAP E/V M F Poon · P F Yiu 4 12.0 NOSE
3 3 ELEGANT LIFE B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 3 3.3 HD
4 2 SUPERB KING CP/XB E Brown · K W Lui 2 2.4 1-1/4
5 5 NEW POWER M Chadwick · C W Chang 7 16.0 2-1/2
6 10 THUNDER PRINCE J Orman · J Richards 9 14.0 4
7 11 TACTICAL COMMAND B A Badel · M Newnham 8 39.0 4
8 9 ORIGIN OF FORM H-/CP/TT R Kingscote · F C Lor 10 142.0 4
9 12 STARRY SHOW B H Bentley · D A Hayes 11 115.0 6-1/2
10 1 VICTOR THE RAPID B/TT- C L Chau · P C Ng 12 45.0 8
11 6 ESCALIBOR H1/TT1 Y L Chung · C S Shum 1 41.0 15-1/2
12 7 FLYING TING LOK B P N Wong · K L Man 5 21.0 24-1/4
0 LEAN MASTER B/TT · C H Yip
0 WARRIORS DREAM CP/XB/TT L Hewitson · B Crawford

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LIVE WIRE2. GIANT LEAP+0.05L3. ELEGANT LIFE+0.2L4. SUPERB KING+1.25L5. NEW POWER+2.5L6. THUNDER PRINCE+4L7. TACTICAL COMMAND+4L8. ORIGIN OF FORM+4L9. STARRY SHOW+6.5L10. VICTOR THE RAPID+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SUPERB KING (25.5%) finished 4th — the winner LIVE WIRE was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 SUPERB KING 25.5% 3.92 4
2 3 ELEGANT LIFE 25.0% 4.00 3
3 8 LIVE WIRE 13.7% 7.29 1
4 5 NEW POWER 8.3% 12.09 5
5 6 ESCALIBOR 5.6% 18.01 11
6 11 TACTICAL COMMAND 5.1% 19.69 7
7 10 THUNDER PRINCE 4.7% 21.35 6
8 4 GIANT LEAP 4.1% 24.60 2
9 7 FLYING TING LOK 2.8% 35.37 12
10 1 VICTOR THE RAPID 2.5% 40.56 10
11 9 ORIGIN OF FORM 1.6% 60.86 8
12 12 STARRY SHOW 1.2% 83.51 9
SUPERB KINGELEGANT LIFELIVE WIRE — wonNEW POWERESCALIBORTACTICAL COMMANDTHUNDER PRINCEGIANT LEAPFLYING TING LOKVICTOR THE RAPIDORIGIN OF FORMSTARRY SHOW

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 63

PLACE

3 13.5

4 32

8 17.5

QUINELLA

4,8 441

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 64.5

3,8 33

4,8 109

FORECAST

8,4 593

TIERCE

8,4,3 2,256

TRIO

3,4,8 338

FIRST 4

2,3,4,8 133

QUARTET

8,4,3,2 4,728

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

12/4 134

12/8 238.5