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Happy Valley · 2026-06-10 · 12:40

THE TOURISM CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 5 ("THE TOURISM CUP (HANDICAP)") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-10 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. VIVA FIRECRACKER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won, with STURDY RUBY second and GENERAL REDWOOD third. The winner led throughout. The 3.0 favourite DECISION LINK finished 4th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:39.19
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 VIVA FIRECRACKER Wire to wire TT 1:39.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz 9 4.6
2 3 STURDY RUBY Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K L Man 2 16.0 1/2
3 1 GENERAL REDWOOD Closed strongly CP/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum 4 8.2 2-1/2
4 5 DECISION LINK Closed strongly V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 3 3.0 2-1/2
5 10 RED BRICK WARRIOR Closed strongly CP- L Hewitson · D Eustace 10 18.0 3-1/2
6 6 THE AZURE Closed strongly CP Z Purton · F C Lor 12 16.0 3-3/4
7 7 ABSOLUTE AWAKENED Closed strongly H-/TT- M L Yeung · D A Hayes 6 10.0 4
8 8 FATAL BLOW V/TT C L Chau · M Newnham 5 7.3 5
9 4 FAST SPEED CP-/TT A Badel · Y S Tsui 1 16.0 6
10 2 YOUNG BRAVO CP/XB J Orman · D J Hall 7 15.0 8-1/2
11 9 CELESTIAL STRIDER Closed strongly TT R Kingscote · W Y So 11 151.0 12-3/4
12 11 BLAZING BEAM B/TT H T Mo · K H Ting 8 100.0 23-1/4
0 MIGHTY STEED CP · K W Lui
0 SHOOTING TO TOP B/TT · W K Mo

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VIVA FIRECRACKER2. STURDY RUBY+0.5L3. GENERAL REDWOOD+2.5L4. DECISION LINK+2.5L5. RED BRICK WARRIOR+3.5L6. THE AZURE+3.75L7. ABSOLUTE AWAKENED+4L8. FATAL BLOW+5L9. FAST SPEED+6L10. YOUNG BRAVO+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick DECISION LINK (30.2%) finished 4th — the winner VIVA FIRECRACKER was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 DECISION LINK 30.2% 3.31 4
2 1 GENERAL REDWOOD 20.6% 4.86 3
3 8 FATAL BLOW 9.0% 11.09 8
4 3 STURDY RUBY 8.2% 12.20 2
5 12 VIVA FIRECRACKER 7.3% 13.70 1
6 6 THE AZURE 5.7% 17.49 6
7 7 ABSOLUTE AWAKENED 4.8% 20.91 7
8 2 YOUNG BRAVO 4.5% 22.04 10
9 4 FAST SPEED 4.0% 25.03 9
10 10 RED BRICK WARRIOR 3.1% 32.00 5
11 11 BLAZING BEAM 1.4% 71.44 12
12 9 CELESTIAL STRIDER 1.1% 89.07 11
DECISION LINKGENERAL REDWOODFATAL BLOWSTURDY RUBYVIVA FIRECRACKER — wonTHE AZUREABSOLUTE AWAKENEDYOUNG BRAVOFAST SPEEDRED BRICK WARRIORBLAZING BEAMCELESTIAL STRIDER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 46.5

PLACE

1 24

3 34.5

12 17.5

QUINELLA

3,12 539

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 169.5

1,12 61.5

3,12 154.5

FORECAST

12,3 867

TIERCE

12,3,1 4,680

TRIO

1,3,12 817

FIRST 4

1,3,5,12 397

QUARTET

12,3,1,5 13,618

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

8/3/3 1,668

8/3/12 6,836

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,5,8/1,3,12 48,851

4TH DOUBLE

3/3 142.5

3/12 692.5