Happy Valley · 2026-06-10 · 12:10
TSIM SHA TSUI HANDICAP
Race 4
Race 4 ("TSIM SHA TSUI HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-06-10 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. GRAND NOVA, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won, with BEAUTY SHOW second and HARMONY FIRE third. The 3.0 favourite JUMBO BLESSING finished 6th.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GRAND NOVA E 0:56.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 2 | 8.1 | — |
| 2 | 5 | BEAUTY SHOW CP1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 8.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | HARMONY FIRE B/TT E C W Wong · D J Whyte | E C W Wong | D J Whyte | 1 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | WINNING MONEY CP-/XB/B1 E Brown · K W Lui | E Brown | K W Lui | 7 | 9.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | BEAUTY THUNDER CP/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 6 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | JUMBO BLESSING TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 3.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | HAPPY UNITED P-/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 3 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | GROUPER B1/TT P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 11 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | PRIVATE WEALTH J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 10 | 38.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPERB BOY TT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 12 | 97.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | MAPOGO H1/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 4 | 5.4 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | BOLTZ TT1 K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 5 | 22.0 | 14-3/4 |
| — | 0 | HEY BROS TT2 · B Crawford | — | B Crawford | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | BUSTLING CITY · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GRAND NOVA | 15.2% | 6.60 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | JUMBO BLESSING | 14.7% | 6.78 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY SHOW | 10.9% | 9.18 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | WINNING MONEY | 10.4% | 9.65 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | BOLTZ | 10.2% | 9.78 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | GROUPER | 10.2% | 9.80 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | MAPOGO | 8.2% | 12.19 | 11 |
| 8 | 8 | HARMONY FIRE | 7.3% | 13.76 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | BEAUTY THUNDER | 4.8% | 20.77 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | HAPPY UNITED | 3.2% | 31.12 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | PRIVATE WEALTH | 2.9% | 34.32 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPERB BOY | 2.0% | 50.04 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 81.5
PLACE
3 25.5
5 29
8 28
QUINELLA
3,5 331
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 106
3,8 99
5,8 135
FORECAST
3,5 615
TIERCE
3,5,8 2,682
TRIO
3,5,8 420
FIRST 4
2,3,5,8 530
QUARTET
3,5,8,2 9,759
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
8/3 932.5
8/5 162.5